🇺🇸 SECVistraCodex · 实盘不做把握 6/10
北京时间·🕒 发布 05:29:37时区推断·⟳ 抓取 08-03 13:33:52回填·⚡ 决策 07-15 11:43:30·104.2 天前
Vistra披露PJM 2028/2029容量拍卖中标约10.9GW、均价325美元/MW-day
这是公司自身8-K披露的容量拍卖结果,方向上利好Vistra的未来容量收入,但价格325美元/MW-day基本落在此前市场已讨论的PJM价格上限附近,预期差有限。
📄 原文Vistra↗ 原文
Item 8.01 Other Events — 8-K
UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 FORM 8-K CURRENT REPORT Pursuant to Section 13…
不做 Vistra(VST.US)
不做:事件方向偏利好但属于预期内的PJM远期容量拍卖披露,325美元/MW-day接近已知价格上限,收入量级相对市值不够短线重定价;且VST.US披露前当日已高开冲高后回落,追隔夜利好edge不足。
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)
研究档案
消息传播链
- PJM利益相关方材料已讨论2028/2029和2029/2030容量拍卖价格上限延续,说明高容量价格并非全新信息。
- Vistra正式披露2028/2029 PJM容量拍卖清算10,924.4MW、加权均价325美元/MW-day。市场反应:VST.US当日收盘前已从168.21美元高点回落至158.43美元,盘后披露后缺少明确未反应窗口。
关键理由
- 这是公司自身8-K披露的容量拍卖结果,方向上利好Vistra的未来容量收入,但价格325美元/MW-day基本落在此前市场已讨论的PJM价格上限附近,预期差有限。
- 按10,924.4MW×325美元/MW-day×365天粗算,对应2028/2029规划年容量收入约12.96亿美元;但这是未来年度容量收入确认,不是短期新增订单,且相对约534亿美元市值只有约2.4%的年化收入口径。
- VST.US在7月14日盘中高开至161美元、最高168.21美元后收158.43美元,披露前已有明显冲高回落,追隔夜利好缺少价格边际。
主要风险
- 若后续公司或卖方把该拍卖结果上修为显著高于模型的EBITDA增量,可能重新打开交易窗口。
- PJM容量市场仍有监管、价格上限和消费者侧挑战风险,容量收入兑现周期远,不适合按短线订单催化追买。
反向证据
- 做多前查反向 · 来源 kb_search · 日期 2026-07-14 · 影响 weakens
内部库未命中直接上修Vistra的相关研报,命中内容主要为无关研报或PJM容量市场背景,未发现足以把事件变成强催化的增量解读。
检索:Vistra PJM 2028/2029 capacity auction $325 MW-day expected price cap 2026 研报 - 做多前查反向 · 来源 kb_search · 日期 2026-07-14 · 影响 weakens
内部库未检出该拍卖结果带来超预期EBITDA或估值重估的即时证据,反而显示PJM容量紧张和高价机制已是市场长期主题。
检索:Vistra PJM capacity auction capacity revenue EBITDA capacity prices data center power 2026
工具调用 · 历史记录,结果未知(2 种)
- stock_quote · 结果未知
- kb_search · 结果未知
原文全文
展开原文 · 7,561 字
UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
FORM
8-K
CURRENT REPORT
Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d)
of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported):
July 14, 2026
VISTRA CORP.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Delaware
001-38086
36-4833255
(State or other jurisdiction of
incorporation or organization)
(Commission
File Number)
(I.R.S. Employer
Identification No.)
6555 Sierra Drive
Irving
,
TX
75039
(Address of principal executive offices)
(Zip Code)
(
214
)
812-4600
(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)
N/A
(Former name or former address, if changed since last report)
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:
☐
Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.l4a-12)
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Title of Each Class
Trading Symbol(s)
Name of Each Exchange on Which Registered
Common stock, par value $0.01 per share
VST
New York Stock Exchange
NYSE Texas
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (
§
230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (
240.12b-2 of this chapter).
Emerging growth company
If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised
financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.
Item 8.01.
Other Events
On July 14, 2026,
Vistra Corp. (the “Company” or “Vistra”) received its results from
the PJM Capacity Auction for planning year 2028/2029. The
Company cleared a total of approximately 10,924 megawatts (MW) in the auction at a weighted average clearing
price of $325.00 per megawatt-day.
The table below lists Vistra’s cleared capacity and associated clearing price for
the
2028/2029
capacity auction by zone.
Zone
Clearing Price
($/MW-d)
Total MWs
Cleared
RTO
$
325.00
4,129.90
COMED
1,174.00
DEOK
927.50
EMAAC
1,819.00
MAAC
584.80
ATSI
2,069.50
DOM
219.70
Total
10,924.40
About Vistra
Vistra (NYSE: VST) is a leading Fortune 500 integrated retail electricity and power generation company based in Irving, Texas, that provides essential resources to customers, businesses, and communities from California to Maine. Vistra is a
leader in transforming the energy landscape, with an unyielding focus on reliability, affordability, and sustainability. The company safely operates a reliable, efficient power generation fleet of natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery energy
storage facilities while taking an innovative, customer-centric approach to its retail business. Learn more at
vistracorp.com.
Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
The information presented herein includes forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking
statements, which are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about the industry and markets in which Vistra operates and beliefs of and assumptions made by Vistra’s management, involve risks and uncertainties, which are difficult to
predict and are not guarantees of future performance, that could significantly affect the financial results of Vistra. All statements, other than statements of historical facts, that are presented herein, or in response to questions or otherwise,
that address activities, events or developments that may occur in the future, including such matters as activities related to our financial or operational projections including financial condition and cash flows, projected synergy, net debt targets,
capital allocation, capital expenditures, liquidity, projected Adjusted EBITDA to free cash flow conversion rate, dividend policy, business strategy, competitive strengths, goals, future acquisitions or dispositions, development or operation of power
generation assets, market and industry developments and the growth of our businesses and operations, including potential large load center opportunities (often, but not always, through the use of words or phrases, or the negative variations of those
words or other comparable words of a future or forward-looking nature, including, but not limited to: “intends,” “plans,” “will likely,” “unlikely,” “believe,” “confident”, “expect,” “seek,” “anticipate,” “estimate,” “continue,” “will,” “shall,”
“should,” “could,” “may,” “might,” “predict,” “project,” “forecast,” “target,” “potential,” “goal,” “objective,” “guidance” and “outlook”), are forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking
statements. Although Vistra believes that in making any such forward-looking statement, Vistra’s expectations are based on reasonable assumptions, any such forward-looking statement involves uncertainties and risks that could cause results to differ
materially from those projected in or implied by any such forward-looking statement, including, but not limited to: (i) adverse changes in general economic or market conditions (including changes in interest rates) or changes in political conditions
or federal or state laws and regulations; (ii) the ability of Vistra to execute upon its contemplated strategic, capital allocation, performance, and cost-saving initiatives and to successfully integrate acquired businesses; (iii) actions by credit
ratings agencies; (iv) the severity, magnitude and duration of extreme weather events, contingencies and uncertainties relating thereto, most of which are difficult to predict and many of which are beyond our control, and the resulting effects on our
results of operations, financial condition and cash flows; and (v) those additional risks and factors discussed in reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission by Vistra from time to time, including the uncertainties and risks discussed
in the sections entitled “Risk Factors” and “Forward-Looking Statements” in Vistra’s annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025 and subsequently filed quarterly reports on Form 10-Q.
Any forward-looking statement speaks only at the date on which it is made, and except as may be required by law, Vistra will not undertake any obligation to update any
forward-looking statement to reflect events or circumstances after the date on which it is made or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. New factors emerge from time to time, and it is not possible to predict all of them; nor can Vistra
assess the impact of each such factor or the extent to which any factor, or combination of factors, may cause results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement.
SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the
undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
Vistra Corp.
Dated: July 14, 2026
/s/ Kristopher E. Moldovan
Name:
Kristopher E. Moldovan
Title:
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
FORM
8-K
CURRENT REPORT
Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d)
of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported):
July 14, 2026
VISTRA CORP.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Delaware
001-38086
36-4833255
(State or other jurisdiction of
incorporation or organization)
(Commission
File Number)
(I.R.S. Employer
Identification No.)
6555 Sierra Drive
Irving
,
TX
75039
(Address of principal executive offices)
(Zip Code)
(
214
)
812-4600
(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)
N/A
(Former name or former address, if changed since last report)
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:
☐
Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.l4a-12)
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Title of Each Class
Trading Symbol(s)
Name of Each Exchange on Which Registered
Common stock, par value $0.01 per share
VST
New York Stock Exchange
NYSE Texas
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (
§
230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (
240.12b-2 of this chapter).
Emerging growth company
If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised
financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.
Item 8.01.
Other Events
On July 14, 2026,
Vistra Corp. (the “Company” or “Vistra”) received its results from
the PJM Capacity Auction for planning year 2028/2029. The
Company cleared a total of approximately 10,924 megawatts (MW) in the auction at a weighted average clearing
price of $325.00 per megawatt-day.
The table below lists Vistra’s cleared capacity and associated clearing price for
the
2028/2029
capacity auction by zone.
Zone
Clearing Price
($/MW-d)
Total MWs
Cleared
RTO
$
325.00
4,129.90
COMED
1,174.00
DEOK
927.50
EMAAC
1,819.00
MAAC
584.80
ATSI
2,069.50
DOM
219.70
Total
10,924.40
About Vistra
Vistra (NYSE: VST) is a leading Fortune 500 integrated retail electricity and power generation company based in Irving, Texas, that provides essential resources to customers, businesses, and communities from California to Maine. Vistra is a
leader in transforming the energy landscape, with an unyielding focus on reliability, affordability, and sustainability. The company safely operates a reliable, efficient power generation fleet of natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery energy
storage facilities while taking an innovative, customer-centric approach to its retail business. Learn more at
vistracorp.com.
Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
The information presented herein includes forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking
statements, which are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about the industry and markets in which Vistra operates and beliefs of and assumptions made by Vistra’s management, involve risks and uncertainties, which are difficult to
predict and are not guarantees of future performance, that could significantly affect the financial results of Vistra. All statements, other than statements of historical facts, that are presented herein, or in response to questions or otherwise,
that address activities, events or developments that may occur in the future, including such matters as activities related to our financial or operational projections including financial condition and cash flows, projected synergy, net debt targets,
capital allocation, capital expenditures, liquidity, projected Adjusted EBITDA to free cash flow conversion rate, dividend policy, business strategy, competitive strengths, goals, future acquisitions or dispositions, development or operation of power
generation assets, market and industry developments and the growth of our businesses and operations, including potential large load center opportunities (often, but not always, through the use of words or phrases, or the negative variations of those
words or other comparable words of a future or forward-looking nature, including, but not limited to: “intends,” “plans,” “will likely,” “unlikely,” “believe,” “confident”, “expect,” “seek,” “anticipate,” “estimate,” “continue,” “will,” “shall,”
“should,” “could,” “may,” “might,” “predict,” “project,” “forecast,” “target,” “potential,” “goal,” “objective,” “guidance” and “outlook”), are forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking
statements. Although Vistra believes that in making any such forward-looking statement, Vistra’s expectations are based on reasonable assumptions, any such forward-looking statement involves uncertainties and risks that could cause results to differ
materially from those projected in or implied by any such forward-looking statement, including, but not limited to: (i) adverse changes in general economic or market conditions (including changes in interest rates) or changes in political conditions
or federal or state laws and regulations; (ii) the ability of Vistra to execute upon its contemplated strategic, capital allocation, performance, and cost-saving initiatives and to successfully integrate acquired businesses; (iii) actions by credit
ratings agencies; (iv) the severity, magnitude and duration of extreme weather events, contingencies and uncertainties relating thereto, most of which are difficult to predict and many of which are beyond our control, and the resulting effects on our
results of operations, financial condition and cash flows; and (v) those additional risks and factors discussed in reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission by Vistra from time to time, including the uncertainties and risks discussed
in the sections entitled “Risk Factors” and “Forward-Looking Statements” in Vistra’s annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025 and subsequently filed quarterly reports on Form 10-Q.
Any forward-looking statement speaks only at the date on which it is made, and except as may be required by law, Vistra will not undertake any obligation to update any
forward-looking statement to reflect events or circumstances after the date on which it is made or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. New factors emerge from time to time, and it is not possible to predict all of them; nor can Vistra
assess the impact of each such factor or the extent to which any factor, or combination of factors, may cause results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement.
SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the
undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
Vistra Corp.
Dated: July 14, 2026
/s/ Kristopher E. Moldovan
Name:
Kristopher E. Moldovan
Title:
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
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