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🇺🇸 SECIonis Pharmaceuticals Inc.Codex · 实盘可交易 · 做空市场:美股▲ 赚 +4.01% · 已结算把握 6/10
北京时间·🕒 发布 05:00:39·⟳ 抓取 05:01:14 +35s·⚡ 决策 09-05 06:11:10 +1h09m·52.4 天前

Ionis 披露 Novartis 旗下 pelacarsen 三期心血管结局研究未达主要终点

事件为一手 SEC/公司披露确认的关键三期失败,直接打击 Ionis 可收取的 pelacarsen 里程碑和 royalty 预期;虽已有盘后下跌但仍属于当晚新信息,选择小仓做空而非追大仓。

📄 原文Ionis Pharmaceuticals Inc.↗ 原文
----- ef20081690_8k.htm ----- UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 FORM 8-K CURRENT…
ENTER▼ 做空Ionis PharmaceuticalsIONS.US🇺🇸小仓
▲ 赚 +4.01%入场 09-04 盘后首笔 @54.51 → 离场 09-08 常规开盘 @52.15
50.0060.0054.51做空 09-04离场 09-0808-1410-09
日 K 取自复盘打分切片 · 蓝点/蓝虚线 = 纸面入场价 · 灰虚线 = 纸面离场 · 持有期红底 = 赚(做空:价格在入场线下方)、绿底 = 亏
💡 交易逻辑三期失败新披露,管线期权需下修
怎么做空 开盘做空 不设价格下限(市价成交)
怎么平空 止盈 -5%(半仓)/-10%(清仓) · 止损 +6% · 时间止损 3日
不做 Novartis(NVS.US)
事件对 Novartis 为负面但集团体量过大、单项目市值弹性弱,优先表达在 Ionis。
不做 Royalty Pharma(RPRX.US)
Royalty Pharma 仅为 royalty 组合二阶敞口,因果链和短线弹性弱于 Ionis。
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)

分时走势

做空 IONS.US Ionis Pharmaceuticals

建仓日早于近 30 天,只有日线图

成交明细 · 纸面

做空 IONS.US Ionis Pharmaceuticals

收益状态+4.01% 已平仓
进场成交2026-09-04 · 盘后首笔 · 09-05 05:04 北京 · @54.5125 · 成交 43%
离场成交2026-09-08 · 常规开盘 · @52.15
毛收益+4.33%
成本+0.33%
净收益+4.01%
计入收益+1.72%
计入同日重复,不计入曲线
建仓日2026-09-04 · 进场不早于新闻时刻 + 2 分钟

收益口径 event_time_plus_2min_10min_walk_open_topup_to_next_open_exchange_calendar_fill_model_local_notional_v9 · method_id m8db1cbc8f2d · 截至 2026-10-27 14:53

研究档案

结论摘要

pelacarsen 是 Ionis 授权给 Novartis 的 Lp(a) 心血管项目,原本对应最高数亿美元里程碑及中高个位数到二十个百分点区间 royalty 的商业化期权;三期结局研究未达主要终点使近期申报和商业化概率显著下降。Ionis 仍有已上市药物和其它管线,且盘后已有明显反应,因此用小仓 SHORT_AT_OPEN 表达负面重估,不扩大到 Novartis 或 Royalty Pharma。

🔎 新鲜度:最早出现 2026-09-04 · 扩散 medium · price-in 风险 medium ↗ ↗ ↗

消息传播链

  1. 2026-09-04 17:00 ET官方确认/否认SEC EDGAR / Ionis 8-K一手源原文 ↗
    Ionis 以 8-K 和新闻稿披露 Novartis 报告 pelacarsen 三期 Lp(a)HORIZON 未达主要终点。
  2. 2026-09-04财经媒体扩散WSJ非一手原文 ↗
    WSJ 当日报道该药未达三期主要终点,并提到 Ionis 与 Novartis 盘后下跌。
    市场反应:报道称 Ionis 盘后下跌约 6.1%,Novartis 下跌约 4.4%。
  3. 2026-09-04财经媒体扩散Investor's Business Daily非一手原文 ↗
    IBD 将事件定性为出乎意料的心血管药物失败,并记录盘后进一步下跌。
    市场反应:报道称 Ionis 盘后跌约 8.6%,Novartis 跌约 3.7%。

关键理由

  • Ionis 对 pelacarsen 仍保留最高约 6.5 亿美元以上里程碑和中高十位数至二十个百分点区间 royalty 权益,三期主要终点失败直接削弱这部分资产价值。
  • Lp(a)HORIZON 是 8323 例大型心血管结局研究,未达主要终点比单纯生物标志物不佳更实质,短期会触发研发管线概率重估。
  • 新闻在 2026-09-04 美股收盘后约 1 小时内扩散,次一可交易时段仍有机构模型下修和卖盘延续风险。

主要风险

  • 完整数据尚未披露,若亚组显示可申报路径或 Novartis 继续推进,做空逻辑会被削弱。
  • 盘后报道已显示 Ionis 下跌约 6%至 9%,若下个开盘大幅低开,风险回报会迅速变差。

反向证据

  • 做空前查反向 · 来源 web · 日期 2026-08 · 影响 weakens
    Ionis 仍有 TRYNGOLZA、DAWNZERA、ZANVASTRO 和多条管线,pelacarsen 不是唯一价值来源。
    检索:Ionis 2026 value driving events commercial medicines TRYNGOLZA DAWNZERA ZANVASTRO pipeline 原文 ↗
  • 做空前查反向 · 来源 filing · 日期 2026-09-04 · 影响 weakens
    公告同时称 pelacarsen 显著降低 Lp(a) 且安全性可接受,完整数据待披露,存在亚组或后续解释空间。
    检索:pelacarsen Phase 3 lowered Lp(a) acceptable safety profile full data medical congress 原文 ↗

先例如何影响了这次决策

对本次决策的影响:先例不足使仓位降为 small,止盈目标压低,且要求不在大幅低开后继续追空。

方向:临床三期主要终点失败通常对权益方为负面,但本轮未取得足够可计量、首发锚点干净的同市场同阶段样本。

涨幅量级:缺少 event_study 可用样本,未用先例校准止盈止损幅度;幅度按事件直接性和盘后已跌风险保守处理。

形态:未能形成可验证的见光死或延续下跌统计结论。

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原文全文

展开原文 · 12,904 字
----- ef20081690_8k.htm -----
UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
FORM
8-K
CURRENT REPORT
PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
Date of report (Date of earliest event reported):
September 4, 2026
IONIS PHARMACEUTICALS, INC.
(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Charter)
Delaware
(State or Other Jurisdiction of Incorporation)
000-19125
33-0336973
(Commission File No.)
(IRS Employer Identification No.)
2855 Gazelle Court
Carlsbad
,
CA
92010
(Address of Principal Executive Offices and Zip Code)
Registrant’s telephone number, including area code:
(
760
)
931-9200
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the
following provisions:
☐
Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
☐
Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
☐
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
☐
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Title of each class
Trading symbol
Name of each exchange on which registered
Common Stock, $.001 Par Value
“
IONS
”
The Nasdaq Stock Market, LLC
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (Section 230.405 of this
chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (Section 240.12b-2 of this chapter).
Emerging growth company
☐
If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or
revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.
☐
Item 7.01
Regulation FD Disclosure.
On September 4, 2026, Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (“
Ionis
”) issued a press release announcing that its partner, Novartis, reported that the pelacarsen Phase 3 Lp(a)HORIZON study, a pioneering cardiovascular outcomes trial, did not meet its primary endpoint of reducing the
risk of cardiovascular events, a composite of cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke, and urgent coronary revascularization requiring hospitalization, compared to placebo. A copy of the press release is furnished as
Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K.
The information in this Item 7.01 and the exhibit attached hereto shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of
1934, as amended (the “
Exchange Act
”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed
incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, regardless of any general incorporation language in such filing.
Item 8.01
Other Events.
On September 4, 2026, Ionis announced that its partner, Novartis, reported that the pelacarsen Phase 3 Lp(a)HORIZON study, a pioneering cardiovascular
outcomes trial, did not meet its primary endpoint of reducing the risk of cardiovascular events, a composite of cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke, and urgent coronary revascularization requiring hospitalization,
compared to placebo. Consistent with previous studies, substantially lower lipoprotein (a) (“
Lp(a)
”) levels were achieved with
pelacarsen. Elevated Lp(a) is an inherited cardiovascular risk factor affecting approximately one in five people worldwide with no approved targeted treatment.
Pelacarsen demonstrated an acceptable safety profile.
The full Lp(a)HORIZON data will be presented at an upcoming medical congress.
Ionis discovered and conducted the early development of pelacarsen. In February 2019, Novartis exercised an option to license the rights to develop and
commercialize pelacarsen for targeted cardiovascular therapy.
Forward-Looking Statements
This report includes forward-looking statements regarding Ionis’ business and the therapeutic and commercial potential of pelacarsen, our commercial
medicines, additional medicines in development and technologies and our expectations regarding development and regulatory milestones. Any statement describing Ionis’ goals, expectations, financial or other projections, intentions or beliefs is a
forward-looking statement and should be considered an at-risk statement. Such statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties including those inherent in the process of discovering, developing and commercializing medicines that are safe and
effective for use as human therapeutics, and in the endeavor of building a business around such medicines. Ionis’ forward-looking statements also involve assumptions that, if they never materialize or prove correct, could cause its results to differ
materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Although Ionis’ forward-looking statements reflect the good faith judgment of its management, these statements are based only on facts and factors currently known by
Ionis. Except as required by law, we undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statements for any reason. As a result, you are cautioned not to rely on these forward-looking statements. These and other risks concerning Ionis’ programs are
described in additional detail in Ionis’ annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025 and most recent Form 10-Q, which are on file with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Copies of these and other documents are available from
Ionis. In this report, unless the context requires otherwise, “Ionis,” “Company,” “we,” “our” and “us” all refer to Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Inc., and its subsidiaries.
Item 9.01
Financial Statements and Exhibits.
(d) Exhibits.
Exhibit No.
Description
99.1
Press Release dated September 4, 2026.
104
Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document).
SIGNATURE
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed
on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.
Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Dated: September 4, 2026
By:
/s/ Patrick R. O’Neil
Patrick R. O’Neil
Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and General Counsel

----- ef20081690_ex99-1.htm -----
EX-99.1
2
ef20081690_ex99-1.htm
EXHIBIT 99.1
Exhibit 99.1
Ionis partner Novartis announces Lp(a)HORIZON Phase 3 topline results for pelacarsen in patients with elevated Lp(a) and established
cardiovascular disease (CVD)
CARLSBAD, Calif., September 4, 2026
--
Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
(Nasdaq: IONS) partner Novartis today announced that the pelacarsen Phase 3 Lp(a)HORIZON study, a pioneering cardiovascular outcomes
trial, did not meet its primary endpoint of reducing the risk of cardiovascular events, a composite of cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke, and urgent coronary revascularization requiring hospitalization, compared
to placebo. Consistent with previous studies, substantially lower lipoprotein (a) [Lp(a)] levels were achieved with pelacarsen. Elevated Lp(a) is an inherited cardiovascular risk factor affecting approximately one in five people worldwide with no
approved targeted treatment.
"Although pelacarsen substantially lowered Lp(a) levels consistent with previous studies, we are disappointed that this did not translate to cardiovascular
risk reduction,” said Brett P. Monia, PhD, chief executive officer, Ionis. "Lp(a)HORIZON was the first pivotal Phase 3 trial to address the question as to whether lowering Lp(a) could reduce cardiovascular risk
in people with established cardiovascular disease who are already receiving optimal cardiovascular care
. While the study did not meet its primary endpoint, these results provide clarity that
will meaningfully inform future cardiovascular care. Ionis continues to drive the independent commercialization of our wholly owned medicines, TRYNGOLZA
®
, DAWNZERA
®
and now ZANVASTRO™, and advance a robust pipeline of
potentially transformational medicines."
Pelacarsen demonstrated an acceptable safety profile.
The full Lp(a)HORIZON data will be presented at an upcoming medical congress.
Ionis discovered and conducted the early development of pelacarsen. In February 2019, Novartis exercised an option to license the rights to develop and
commercialize pelacarsen for targeted cardiovascular therapy.
About pelacarsen
Pelacarsen is an investigational antisense oligonucleotide (ASO) designed to potentially inhibit lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)] production at its source.
About Elevated Lp(a)
Elevated lipoprotein (a) [Lp(a)] is an inherited, independent and causal cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factor. Lp(a) levels are approximately 90%
genetically determined and largely unaffected by diet or lifestyle. Lp(a) can contribute to plaque buildup and inflammation in the arteries, which can lead to plaque rupture and cardiovascular events. Approximately 20% of people worldwide, and nearly
one-third of those with premature cardiovascular disease, have elevated Lp(a). U.S. and European guidelines recommend Lp(a) testing once in a lifetime for all adults.
About Lp(a)HORIZON
Lp(a)HORIZON (NCT04023552) is a Phase 3, randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind, parallel-group, multi-center global cardiovascular outcomes trial
evaluating the effect of pelacarsen on the incidence of 4-point major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in 8,323 patients with elevated Lp(a) and established CVD. The primary endpoint is a composite of cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial
infarction, non-fatal stroke, and urgent coronary revascularization requiring hospitalization, evaluated in the overall population (Lp(a) ≥70 mg/dL) and subpopulation (Lp(a) ≥90 mg/dL). Study participants received guideline-directed treatments,
including lipid lowering and antihypertensive therapies.
About Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
For more than three decades, Ionis has invented medicines that bring better futures to people with serious diseases. Ionis currently has marketed medicines
and a leading pipeline in neurology, cardiometabolic disease and select areas of high patient need. As the pioneer in RNA-targeted medicines, Ionis continues to drive innovation in RNA therapies in addition to advancing new approaches in gene
editing. A deep understanding of disease biology and industry-leading technology propels our work, coupled with a passion and urgency to deliver life-changing advances for patients. To learn more about Ionis, visit
Ionis.com
and follow us on
X (Twitter)
,
LinkedIn
and
Instagram
.
Ionis Forward-looking Statements
This press release includes forward-looking statements regarding Ionis' business and the therapeutic and commercial potential of pelacarsen, our commercial
medicines, additional medicines in development and technologies and our expectations regarding development and regulatory milestones. Any statement describing Ionis' goals, expectations, financial or other projections, intentions or beliefs is a
forward-looking statement and should be considered an at-risk statement. Such statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties including those inherent in the process of discovering, developing and commercializing medicines that are safe and
effective for use as human therapeutics, and in the endeavor of building a business around such medicines. Ionis' forward-looking statements also involve assumptions that, if they never materialize or prove correct, could cause its results to differ
materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Although Ionis' forward-looking statements reflect the good faith judgment of its management, these statements are based only on facts and factors currently known by
Ionis. Except as required by law, we undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statements for any reason. As a result, you are cautioned not to rely on these forward-looking statements. These and other risks concerning Ionis' programs are
described in additional detail in Ionis' annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025 and most recent Form 10-Q, which are on file with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Copies of these and other documents are available from
the Company.
In this press release, unless the context requires otherwise, "Ionis," "Company," "we," "our" and "us" all refer to Ionis Pharmaceuticals and its
subsidiaries.
Ionis Pharmaceuticals
®
, TRYNGOLZA
®
, DAWNZERA
®
and ZANVASTRO™ are trademarks of Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Ionis Investor Contact:
D. Wade Walke, Ph.D.
IR@ionis.com
760-603-2331
Ionis Media Contact:
Hayley Soffer
media@ionis.com
760-603-4679

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