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🇺🇸 SECDiamondback Energy Inc.Doubao · 实盘不做把握 4/10不做原因:证据不足
北京时间·🕒 发布 04:01:20·⟳ 抓取 04:01:49 +29s·⚡ 决策 10-09 04:02:31 +42s·18.9 天前

Diamondback Energy披露2026年三季度实际油价及衍生品亏损等经营预览

一手8-K信息可靠,但内容是季度经营指标片段;未披露完整业绩、产量、成本、现金流或正式指引,衍生品亏损也主要反映套保结算,不能直接推出股票涨跌。

📄 原文Diamondback Energy Inc.↗ 原文
----- fang-20261008.htm ----- UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 ___________ FORM…
不做 Diamondback Energy, Inc.(FANG.US)
片段性经营预览缺少产量、成本、现金流、完整业绩和指引,无法确认相对预期差;当前美股收盘且无盘后行情证据,不具备可执行edge。
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)

研究档案

结论摘要

Diamondback披露三季度实现油价和衍生品亏损,但缺少相对市场预期的关键产量、成本与现金流数据,方向不足以构成可交易edge,建议回避。

🔎 新鲜度:最早出现 2026-10-08 · 扩散 low · price-in 风险 medium ↗

关键理由

  • 未套保油价87.30美元/桶和衍生品亏损属于部分经营数据,不能单独证明盈利超预期或低于预期。
  • 备案未包含产量、费用、资本开支、自由现金流或管理层正式指引,短线定价锚不足。

主要风险

  • 若盘后已有明显波动,可能说明市场将衍生品亏损或实现油价解读为新增信息,但缺少报价验证。
  • 若后续随完整财报披露产量或指引超预期,本片段性8-K可能被重新解释。

反向证据

  • 做多前查反向 · 来源 filing · 日期 2026-10-08 · 影响 weakens
    8-K中存在1.82亿美元商品合约净亏损,但未给出产量、成本、现金流或指引,无法确认净利空或利多。
    检索:Diamondback Energy FANG third quarter 2026 realized prices derivative loss guidance production 原文 ↗

先例如何影响了这次决策

对本次决策的影响:先例不足叠加事件本身信息片段化,最终选择AVOID。

方向:缺少可验证的同公司、同相位且围绕季度价格预览的先例,不能据此判断方向。

涨幅量级:无高相似对齐先例,不能设定止盈止损幅度。

形态:未确认反复见光死或高开低走模式。

原文全文

展开原文 · 9,120 字
----- fang-20261008.htm -----
UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
___________
FORM
8-K
CURRENT REPORT
Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934
Date of report (Date of earliest event reported):
October 8, 2026
___________
DIAMONDBACK ENERGY, INC.
(Exact Name of Registrant as Specified in Charter)
DE
001-35700
45-4502447
(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation)
(Commission File Number)
(I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)
500 West Texas Ave.
Suite 100
Midland
,
TX
79701
(Address of principal
executive offices)
(Zip Code)
(
432
)
221-7400
(Registrant's telephone number, including area code)
Not Applicable
(Former name or former address, if changed since last report)
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:
☐
Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
☐
Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
☐
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
☐
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934:
Title of each class
Trading Symbol(s)
Name of each exchange on which registered
Common Stock, par value $0.01 per share
FANG
The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC
(NASDAQ Global Select Market)
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).
Emerging growth company
☐
If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.
☐
Item 2.02. Results of Operations and Financial Condition.
Diamondback Energy, Inc. (“Diamondback”) presents in this Item 2.02 certain information for the quarter ended September 30, 2026 regarding its realized prices, derivative activity and weighted average basic and diluted shares outstanding.
Realized Prices
Third quarter 2026 average unhedged realized prices were $87.30 per barrel of oil, $1.12 per Mcf of natural gas and $20.02 per barrel of natural gas liquids (“NGLs”).
Third quarter 2026 average realized hedged prices were $85.89 per barrel of oil, $0.90 per Mcf of natural gas and $20.02 per barrel of NGLs.
Average Prices:
Oil ($ per Bbl)
$
87.30
Natural gas ($ per Mcf)
$
1.12
Natural gas liquids ($ per Bbl)
$
20.02
Oil, hedged ($ per Bbl)
(1)
$
85.89
Natural gas, hedged ($ per Mcf)
(1)
$
0.90
Natural gas liquids, hedged ($ per Bbl)
(1)
$
20.02
(1)
Hedged prices reflect the effect of our commodity derivative transactions on our average sales prices and include gains and losses on cash settlements for matured commodity derivatives, which we do not designate for hedge accounting. Hedged prices exclude gains or losses resulting from the early settlement of commodity derivative contracts.
Derivative Activity
For the third quarter of 2026, Diamondback anticipates a net loss on cash settlements for derivative instruments of $97 million and a net non-cash loss on derivative instruments of $85 million as detailed in the table below (in millions):
Gain (loss) on derivative instruments, net:
Commodity contracts
$
(182)
Net cash received (paid) on settlements:
Commodity contracts
$
(97)
Weighted Average Basic and Diluted Shares Outstanding
For the third quarter of 2026, basic and diluted weighted average shares outstanding are as follows (in thousands):
Basic weighted average shares outstanding
279,959
Diluted weighted average shares outstanding
279,959
Forward-Looking Statements
This news release contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act and Section 21E of the Exchange Act, which involve risks, uncertainties, and assumptions. All statements, other than statements of historical fact, including statements regarding Diamondback’s: future performance; business strategy; future operations (including drilling plans and capital plans); estimates and projections of revenues, losses, costs, expenses, returns, cash flow, and financial position; reserve estimates and its ability to replace or increase reserves; anticipated benefits or other effects of strategic transactions (including the recently completed drop down of certain mineral and royalty interests by Diamondback and related subsidiaries to Diamondback's subsidiary, Viper Energy, Inc. ("Viper"), the Sitio acquisition completed by Viper and other acquisitions, divestitures or reorganizations); and plans and objectives of management (including plans for future cash flow from operations and for executing environmental strategies) are forward-looking statements. When used in this news release, the words “aim,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “continue,” “could,” “estimate,” “expect,” “forecast,” “future,” “guidance,” “intend,” “may,” “model,” “outlook,” “plan,” “positioned,” “potential,” “predict,” “project,” “seek,” “should,” “target,” “will,” “would,” and similar expressions (including the negative of such terms) are intended to identify forward-looking statements, although not all forward-looking statements contain such identifying words. Although Diamondback believes that the expectations and assumptions reflected in its forward-looking statements are reasonable as and when made, they involve risks and uncertainties that are difficult to predict and, in many cases, beyond Diamondback’s control. Accordingly, forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and Diamondback’s actual outcomes could differ materially from what Diamondback has expressed in its forward-looking statements.
Factors that could cause the outcomes to differ materially include (but are not limited to) the following: geopolitics and market conditions, including changes in supply and demand levels for oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids, and the resulting impact on the price for those commodities; changes in U.S. energy, environmental, monetary and trade policies, including with respect to tariffs or other trade barriers and any resulting trade tensions; actions taken by the members of OPEC and its non-OPEC allies (OPEC+) affecting the production and pricing of oil, as well as other domestic and global political, economic, or diplomatic developments; changes in general economic, business or industry conditions, including changes in foreign currency exchange rates, interest rates, inflation rates, and instability in the financial markets; regional supply and demand factors, including delays, curtailments or interruptions of production, or governmental orders, rules or regulations that impose production limits; federal and state legislative and regulatory initiatives relating to hydraulic fracturing, including the effect of existing and future laws and governmental regulations; physical and transition risks relating to climate change, changing political and social perspectives on climate change and other environmental, social and governance factors, and risks from our publicly disclosed targets related to sustainability and emissions reduction initiatives; those risks described in Item 1A of Diamondback’s Annual Report on Form 10-K, filed with the SEC on February 25, 2026, and those risks disclosed in its subsequent filings on Forms 10-K, 10-Q and 8-K, which can be obtained free of charge on the SEC’s website at http://www.sec.gov and Diamondback’s website at www.diamondbackenergy.com/investors.
In light of these factors, the events anticipated by Diamondback’s forward-looking statements may not occur at the time anticipated or at all. Moreover, Diamondback operates in a very competitive and rapidly changing environment and new risks emerge from time to time. Diamondback cannot predict all risks, nor can it assess the impact of all factors on its business or the extent to which any factor, or combination of factors, may cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated by any forward-looking statements it may make. Accordingly, you should not place undue reliance on any forward-looking statements. All forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this release or, if earlier, as of the date they were made. Diamondback does not intend to, and disclaims any obligation to, update or revise any forward-looking statements unless required by applicable law.
SIGNATURE
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
DIAMONDBACK ENERGY, INC.
Date:
October 8, 2026
By:
/s/ Teresa L. Dick
Name:
Teresa L. Dick
Title:
Executive Vice President of Accounting and Assistant Secretary

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