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🇺🇸 SECStrive Inc. Class ACodex · 实盘不做把握 6/10不做原因:风险收益比不佳
北京时间·🕒 发布 19:59:24·⟳ 抓取 20:00:04 +40s·⚡ 决策 08-31 22:12:20 +2h12m·56.8 天前

Strive披露一周内增持1800枚比特币,持仓升至23156枚

事件方向偏正面,但属于已反复出现的比特币财库增持更新,近期股价已有强烈同向重定价,且本轮未取得可用实时行情和系统内去重/案例工具结果,不能形成可执行的正期望订单。

📄 原文Strive Inc. Class A↗ 原文
----- asst-20260831.htm ----- UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549 _________________…
不做 Strive, Inc.(ASST.US)
一手披露偏利好,但近期同类增持已连续发生且股价大幅抢跑;本次增持虽提升BTC per share约4.4%,但伴随股本和优先股增加,风险收益不够,且缺少stock_quote实时价不能给可执行入场。
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)

研究档案

结论摘要

Strive一手SEC披露显示8月24日至28日新增买入1800枚比特币,按披露均价约1.43亿美元,持仓增至23156枚;同时有效普通股增加约4.0%、完全摊薄股数增加约3.8%,粗算BTC per diluted share从约0.000230升至约0.000240,增幅约4.4%。基本面方向为正,但同类增持已连续披露,ASST在8月前期已从约11美元区间涨至8月28日21.74美元,拥挤与price-in风险较高,缺少实时可成交价时不追。

🔎 新鲜度:最早出现 2026-08-31 · 扩散 medium · price-in 风险 high ↗ ↗ ↗

消息传播链

  1. 2026-08-31 07:59 ET首发SEC EDGAR原文 ↗
    Strive提交8-K,披露8月24日至28日买入1800枚BTC及最新现金、持币和股本数据。
  2. 2026-08-31财经媒体扩散TradingView News非一手原文 ↗
    TradingView基于SEC文件转述Strive买入1800枚BTC并披露股本增加。
  3. 2026-08-31 08:10 ET财经媒体扩散Bloomingbit非一手原文 ↗
    Bloomingbit报道CEO在X提及本次约1.43亿美元BTC购买,显示消息已在加密财经圈扩散。

关键理由

  • 本次增持使Strive比特币持仓增加8.4%,完全摊薄后BTC per share仍约提升4.4%。
  • 披露来自SEC 8-K一手文件,事件事实可信度高。
  • 现金余额同时增加1160万美元,未显示因增持立刻耗尽现金缓冲。

主要风险

  • 普通股、完全摊薄股数与SATA优先股同步增加,说明增持收益被融资和稀释部分抵消。
  • ASST近期已连续大涨并放量,本次同类财库增持可能已被市场预期并存在见光回落风险。

反向证据

  • 做多前查反向 · 来源 filing · 日期 2026-08-31 · 影响 weakens
    同一8-K显示Effective Common Shares Outstanding增加357.9万股、SATA优先股增加80.31万股,增持BTC伴随融资/稀释。
    检索:Strive ASST bitcoin purchase dilution shares outstanding SATA August 31 2026 原文 ↗
  • 做多前查反向 · 来源 web · 日期 2026-08-28 · 影响 weakens
    ASST在本次披露前的8月已连续放量上涨,存在同类BTC财库增持预期提前交易的风险。
    检索:ASST stock price history August 2026 Strive 原文 ↗

先例如何影响了这次决策

对本次决策的影响:先例证据不足叠加近期价格抢跑,使本轮从潜在小仓多头降为不做。

方向:未形成可量化的同市场高相似先例结论;一般比特币财库公司增持方向偏正面,但重复性披露和融资稀释会削弱短线胜率。

涨幅量级:缺少经event_study确认的高相似样本,不能用先例校准tp/sl。

形态:本次更像连续财库更新而非首次战略转型,见光回落风险高于首次宣布持币策略的事件。

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原文全文

展开原文 · 9,701 字
----- asst-20260831.htm -----
UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549
_________________________________________________________
FORM
8-K
_________________________________________________________
CURRENT REPORT
Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported):
August 31, 2026
_________________________________________________________
STRIVE, INC.
(Exact name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)
_________________________________________________________
Nevada
001-41612
88-1293236
(State or Other Jurisdiction
of Incorporation)
(Commission File Number)
(IRS Employer
Identification No.)
200 Crescent Ct.
,
Suite 1400
,
Dallas
,
Texas
75201
(Address of principal executive offices and zip code)
Registrant’s Telephone Number, Including Area Code: (
855
)
427-7360
(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)
_________________________________________________________
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:
☐
Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
☐
Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
☐
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
☐
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Title of each class
Trading
Symbol(s)
Name of each exchange on which registered
Class A common stock, $0.001 par value per share
ASST
The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC
Variable Rate Series A Perpetual Preferred Stock, $0.001 par value per share
SATA
The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§ 230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§ 240.12b-2 of this chapter).
Emerging growth company
☒
If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.
o
Item 8.01.
Other Events.
On August 31, 2026, Strive, Inc. ("Strive" or the "Company") announced that during the period from August 24, 2026 through August 28, 2026, Strive purchased 1800 bitcoin at an average price of approximately $79,431 per bitcoin, inclusive of fees and expenses. The Company also announced the following updates to its holdings of cash and cash equivalents, bitcoin, and Variable Rate Series A Perpetual Stretch Preferred Stock of Strategy Inc. (the "STRC Stock") and shares outstanding of Class A common stock, Class B common stock, and Variable Rate Series A Perpetual Preferred Stock (the "SATA Stock"):
As of August 21, 2026
As of August 28, 2026
Change
Cash and cash equivalents (in thousands)
$
171,900
$
183,500
$
11,600
Fair value of STRC Stock (in thousands)
$
48,571
$
49,152
$
581
Shares of STRC held
505,000
505,000
—
Bitcoin held
21,356
23,156
1,800
Shares outstanding:
(1)
Class A common stock
79,890,888
83,470,035
3,579,147
Class B common stock
9,792,535
9,792,535
—
Effective Common Shares Outstanding
(2)
89,683,423
93,262,570
3,579,147
Options
(3)
996,963
991,941
(5,022)
Unvested employee stock awards
(3)
2,268,840
2,268,840
—
Assumed Fully Diluted Shares
(4)
92,949,226
96,523,351
3,574,125
Shares Underlying Traditional Warrants
(5)
26,596,010
26,596,010
—
SATA Stock
8,270,815
9,073,914
803,099
(1)
Includes shares outstanding and shares sold through 4:00pm EST, which will be issued on the following business day.
(2)
Effective Common Shares Outstanding is calculated as the sum of Class A common stock and Class B common stock.
(3)
Represents outstanding, but unvested employee stock awards, which are subject to ongoing time and/or performance conditions. For any awards in which the achievement of performance conditions affect the number of shares to ultimately vest, represents the target number of shares granted.
(4)
Assumed Fully Diluted Shares Outstanding represents Effective Common Shares Outstanding plus shares underlying all potentially dilutive securities, including options and unvested RSUs. Shares underlying Traditional Warrants are excluded from this figure.
(5)
Represents shares exercisable underlying Traditional Warrants. Exercises of traditional warrants subject to the payment of exercise price to Company.
Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements herein and in the press release attached hereto may constitute “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), and Rule 175 promulgated thereunder, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), and Rule 3b-6 promulgated thereunder, which statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties. Examples of forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, express or implied statements regarding the outlook and expectations of Strive and its subsidiaries, the strategic benefits and financial benefits of the merger transaction with Semler Scientific, Inc. (the "merger transaction"), including the expected impact of the merger transaction on Strive's future financial performance and the ability to successfully integrate the combined businesses, and Strive’s intentions with respect to adjusting the SATA Stock dividend rate. Such statements are often characterized by the use of qualified words (and their derivatives) such as “may,” “will,” “anticipate,” “could,” “should,” “would,” “believe,” “contemplate,” “expect,” “estimate,” “continue,” “plan,” “project,” “predict,” “potential,” “assume,” “forecast,” “target,” “budget,” “outlook,” “trend,” “guidance,” “objective,” “goal,” “strategy,” “opportunity,” and “intend,” as well as words of similar meaning or other statements concerning opinions or judgments of Strive and its management team about future events. Forward-looking statements are based on assumptions as of the time they are made and are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors that are difficult to predict with regard to timing, extent, likelihood and degree of occurrence, which could cause actual results to differ materially from anticipated results expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements as a result of various important factors. Other risks, uncertainties and assumptions, including, among others, the following:
•
the outcome of any legal proceedings that may be instituted against Strive or its subsidiaries;
•
the possibility that the anticipated benefits of the merger transaction are not realized when expected or at all, including as a result of changes in, or problems arising from, implementation of Bitcoin treasury strategies and risks associated with Bitcoin and other digital assets, general economic and market conditions, interest and exchange rates, monetary policy, and laws and regulations and their enforcement;
•
the diversion of management’s attention from ongoing business operations and opportunities;
•
dilution caused by Strive’s issuance of additional shares of its Class A common stock or SATA Stock;
•
potential adverse reactions of Strive’s clients and customers or changes to business or employee relationships, including those resulting from the completion of the merger transaction;
•
other factors that may affect future results of Strive or the future trading performance of its Class A common stock or SATA Stock.
These factors are not necessarily all of the factors that could cause Strive’s actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from those expressed in or implied by any of the forward-looking statements. Other factors, including unknown or unpredictable factors, also could harm Strive’s results.
Although Strive believes that its expectations with respect to forward-looking statements are based upon reasonable assumptions within the bounds of its existing knowledge of its business and operations, there can be no assurance that the actual results of Strive will not differ materially from any projected future results expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Additional factors that could cause results to differ materially from those described above can be found in Strive’s Annual Report on Form 10-K, for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, and other documents subsequently filed by Strive with the SEC.
The actual results anticipated may not be realized or, even if substantially realized, they may not have the expected consequences to or effects on Strive or its businesses or operations. Investors are cautioned not to rely too heavily on any such forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements contained herein and in the press release attached hereto speak only as of the date hereof, and Strive undertakes no obligation to update or clarify these forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except to the extent required by applicable law.
SIGNATURE
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
Strive, Inc.
Date:
August 31, 2026
By:
/s/ Matthew Cole
Matthew Cole
Chief Executive Officer

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