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🇺🇸 SECStrive Inc. Class ACodex · 实盘不做把握 5/10不做原因:风险收益比不佳
北京时间·🕒 发布 19:59:19·⟳ 抓取 19:59:42 +23s·⚡ 决策 09-08 20:57:52 +58m10s·48.7 天前

Strive披露一周内增持1375枚比特币,持仓升至24531枚

事件是官方一手披露且方向偏正,但属于Strive持续比特币财库策略的周度延续,新增BTC/股的改善不够干净,且伴随股本和优先股扩张;在缺少实时价格与高相似先例支持下,不给开盘追多。

📄 原文Strive Inc. Class A↗ 原文
----- asst-20260908.htm ----- UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549 _________________…
不做 Strive, Inc.(ASST.US)
不做多:新增持币方向偏正,但属于连续周度财库执行,股本和优先股同步扩张稀释每股收益,缺少足够预期差和高相似价格先例支持开盘追买。
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)

研究档案

结论摘要

Strive本周新增1375枚比特币,按披露均价约1.09亿美元,持仓升至24531枚;有效普通股同步增加约1.8%,粗算BTC/有效普通股由约0.000248枚升至约0.000258枚,增幅约4.1%。这对普通股是增量利好,但8月以来公司已多次周度披露购币,市场对财库扩张已有预期,且融资摊薄和优先股扩张削弱每股权益质量。当前没有足够证据证明开盘仍有正期望,结论为回避。

🔎 新鲜度:最早出现 2026-09-08 · 扩散 medium · price-in 风险 medium ↗ ↗ ↗

消息传播链

  1. 2026-09-08 11:59 UTC官方确认SEC EDGAR一手源原文 ↗
    Strive提交8-K,披露8月31日至9月4日期间新增购买1375枚比特币及股本变化。
  2. 2026-09-08财经媒体扩散PublicNow非一手原文 ↗
    PublicNow转载同一SEC披露,未提供新增金额或额外经营事实。

关键理由

  • 新增1375枚比特币约对应1.09亿美元购入额,使总持仓增至24531枚,财库规模继续扩大。
  • 考虑有效普通股增加后,BTC/有效普通股约从0.000248枚升至0.000258枚,周度约增4.1%,但不是完全无摊薄增持。
  • 此前8月24日和8月31日已有类似周度增持披露,本次更像延续执行而非首次策略转向。

主要风险

  • 若ASST开盘高开较多,事件收益容易被财库题材资金提前兑现,T+0虽可止损但追高风险大。
  • 比特币价格波动、持续发行普通股或SATA优先股融资,会使每股经济权益与股价反应偏离名义持币增长。

反向证据

  • 做多前查反向 · 来源 filing · 日期 2026-09-08 · 影响 weakens
    本次8-K同时披露有效普通股增加约167.2万股、SATA优先股增加约92.2万股,融资摊薄是多头反证。
    检索:Strive ASST recent bitcoin purchases share dilution SATA preferred stock 原文 ↗
  • 做多前查反向 · 来源 web · 日期 2026-08-31 · 影响 weakens
    同公司一周前已披露1800枚比特币购买,本次不是低预期的首次财库转向。
    检索:Strive ASST August 2026 weekly bitcoin purchase 8-K 原文 ↗

先例如何影响了这次决策

对本次决策的影响:先例不足以支持开盘追多,最终将ASST从潜在LONG降为AVOID。

方向:同公司周度增持先例支持方向偏正,但重复披露降低预期差;跨主体案例提示财库周报可能无显著正反应。

涨幅量级:没有取得高相似、锚点干净且带完整价格反应的样本,不能据此设定止盈止损幅度。

形态:现有样本显示该类周度财库披露已常态化,存在见光后缺乏新增买盘的风险。

历史先例(按相似度)

  • 相似度 7/10 ASST 2026-08-31 Strive披露8月24日至8月28日期间购买1800枚比特币,均价约79431美元。 原文 ↗
    事件后 +1日 +11.4% · +2日 +10.4% · +3日 +11.9% · +4日 +23.4% · +5日 +24.8%
    ⚠未核对目标相位 — 该行涨幅别用来定止盈止损
    相似度依据:同一公司、同一周度比特币增持披露机制,但缺少本轮价格反应测算。
    经验:连续周度购币披露会降低单次公告的预期差。
  • 相似度 7/10 ASST 2026-08-24 Strive披露8月17日至8月21日期间购买1110枚比特币,现金、持币和股本同步变化。 原文 ↗
    事件后 +1日 +8.3% · +2日 +17.4% · +3日 +18.0% · +4日 +26.9% · +5日 +19.3%
    ⚠锚前1-2日已异动23.7%>锚定日8.3%·未核对目标相位 — 该行涨幅别用来定止盈止损
    相似度依据:同一公司、同一财库增持周报,规模同量级但时间更早。
    经验:周度重复披露更适合验证持续融资和每股BTC变化,而不是直接追公告。
  • 相似度 5/10 MSTR 2026-09-08 Barron's报道Strategy当周未买卖比特币,股价盘前下跌,显示周度财库更新不必然带来正反应。 原文 ↗
    Strategy盘前反应,仅作机制类比。
    相似度依据:同为比特币财库公司周度持仓披露,但主体不同且该先例为Strategy未增持。
    经验:市场会将比特币财库周报视为常规信息,反应更多取决于是否超出融资和购币节奏预期。
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原文全文

展开原文 · 9,721 字
----- asst-20260908.htm -----
UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549
_________________________________________________________
FORM
8-K
_________________________________________________________
CURRENT REPORT
Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported):
September 8, 2026
_________________________________________________________
STRIVE, INC.
(Exact name of Registrant as Specified in Its Charter)
_________________________________________________________
Nevada
001-41612
88-1293236
(State or Other Jurisdiction
of Incorporation)
(Commission File Number)
(IRS Employer
Identification No.)
200 Crescent Ct.
,
Suite 1400
,
Dallas
,
Texas
75201
(Address of principal executive offices and zip code)
Registrant’s Telephone Number, Including Area Code: (
855
)
427-7360
(Former Name or Former Address, if Changed Since Last Report)
_________________________________________________________
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:
☐
Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
☐
Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
☐
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
☐
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Title of each class
Trading
Symbol(s)
Name of each exchange on which registered
Class A common stock, $0.001 par value per share
ASST
The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC
Variable Rate Series A Perpetual Preferred Stock, $0.001 par value per share
SATA
The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§ 230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§ 240.12b-2 of this chapter).
Emerging growth company
☒
If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.
o
Item 8.01.
Other Events.
On September 8, 2026, Strive, Inc. ("Strive" or the "Company") announced that during the period from August 31, 2026 through September 4, 2026, Strive purchased 1,375 bitcoin at an average price of approximately $79,281 per bitcoin, inclusive of fees and expenses. The Company also announced the following updates to its holdings of cash and cash equivalents, bitcoin, and Variable Rate Series A Perpetual Stretch Preferred Stock of Strategy Inc. (the "STRC Stock") and shares outstanding of Class A common stock, Class B common stock, and Variable Rate Series A Perpetual Preferred Stock (the "SATA Stock"):
As of August 28, 2026
As of September 4, 2026
Change
Cash and cash equivalents (in thousands)
$
183,500
$
202,600
$
19,100
Fair value of STRC Stock (in thousands)
$
49,152
$
49,364
$
212
Shares of STRC held
505,000
505,000
—
Bitcoin held
23,156
24,531
1,375
Shares outstanding:
(1)
Class A common stock
83,470,035
85,696,647
2,226,612
Class B common stock
9,792,535
9,237,911
(554,624)
Effective Common Shares Outstanding
(2)
93,262,570
94,934,558
1,671,988
Options
(3)
991,941
945,153
(46,788)
Unvested employee stock awards
(3)
2,268,840
2,268,840
—
Assumed Fully Diluted Shares
(4)
96,523,351
98,148,551
1,625,200
Shares Underlying Traditional Warrants
(5)
26,596,010
26,596,010
—
SATA Stock
9,073,914
9,995,425
921,511
(1)
Includes shares outstanding and shares sold through 4:00pm EST, which will be issued on the following business day.
(2)
Effective Common Shares Outstanding is calculated as the sum of Class A common stock and Class B common stock.
(3)
Represents outstanding, but unvested employee stock awards, which are subject to ongoing time and/or performance conditions. For any awards in which the achievement of performance conditions affect the number of shares to ultimately vest, represents the target number of shares granted.
(4)
Assumed Fully Diluted Shares Outstanding represents Effective Common Shares Outstanding plus shares underlying all potentially dilutive securities, including options and unvested RSUs. Shares underlying Traditional Warrants are excluded from this figure.
(5)
Represents shares exercisable underlying Traditional Warrants. Exercises of traditional warrants subject to the payment of exercise price to Company.
Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements herein and in the press release attached hereto may constitute “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), and Rule 175 promulgated thereunder, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), and Rule 3b-6 promulgated thereunder, which statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties. Examples of forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, express or implied statements regarding the outlook and expectations of Strive and its subsidiaries, the strategic benefits and financial benefits of the merger transaction with Semler Scientific, Inc. (the "merger transaction"), including the expected impact of the merger transaction on Strive's future financial performance and the ability to successfully integrate the combined businesses, and Strive’s intentions with respect to adjusting the SATA Stock dividend rate. Such statements are often characterized by the use of qualified words (and their derivatives) such as “may,” “will,” “anticipate,” “could,” “should,” “would,” “believe,” “contemplate,” “expect,” “estimate,” “continue,” “plan,” “project,” “predict,” “potential,” “assume,” “forecast,” “target,” “budget,” “outlook,” “trend,” “guidance,” “objective,” “goal,” “strategy,” “opportunity,” and “intend,” as well as words of similar meaning or other statements concerning opinions or judgments of Strive and its management team about future events. Forward-looking statements are based on assumptions as of the time they are made and are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors that are difficult to predict with regard to timing, extent, likelihood and degree of occurrence, which could cause actual results to differ materially from anticipated results expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements as a result of various important factors. Other risks, uncertainties and assumptions, including, among others, the following:
•
the outcome of any legal proceedings that may be instituted against Strive or its subsidiaries;
•
the possibility that the anticipated benefits of the merger transaction are not realized when expected or at all, including as a result of changes in, or problems arising from, implementation of Bitcoin treasury strategies and risks associated with Bitcoin and other digital assets, general economic and market conditions, interest and exchange rates, monetary policy, and laws and regulations and their enforcement;
•
the diversion of management’s attention from ongoing business operations and opportunities;
•
dilution caused by Strive’s issuance of additional shares of its Class A common stock or SATA Stock;
•
potential adverse reactions of Strive’s clients and customers or changes to business or employee relationships, including those resulting from the completion of the merger transaction;
•
other factors that may affect future results of Strive or the future trading performance of its Class A common stock or SATA Stock.
These factors are not necessarily all of the factors that could cause Strive’s actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from those expressed in or implied by any of the forward-looking statements. Other factors, including unknown or unpredictable factors, also could harm Strive’s results.
Although Strive believes that its expectations with respect to forward-looking statements are based upon reasonable assumptions within the bounds of its existing knowledge of its business and operations, there can be no assurance that the actual results of Strive will not differ materially from any projected future results expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Additional factors that could cause results to differ materially from those described above can be found in Strive’s Annual Report on Form 10-K, for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, and other documents subsequently filed by Strive with the SEC.
The actual results anticipated may not be realized or, even if substantially realized, they may not have the expected consequences to or effects on Strive or its businesses or operations. Investors are cautioned not to rely too heavily on any such forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements contained herein and in the press release attached hereto speak only as of the date hereof, and Strive undertakes no obligation to update or clarify these forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except to the extent required by applicable law.
SIGNATURE
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.
Strive, Inc.
Date:
September 8, 2026
By:
/s/ Matthew Cole
Matthew Cole
Chief Executive Officer

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