📊 TrendForceTrendForceCodex · 实盘不做把握 4/10
北京时间·🕒 发布 14:26:16·⟳ 抓取 14:26:29 +13s·⚡ 决策 08-18 14:29:14 +2m45s·70.0 天前
TrendForce汇总称长鑫存储DDR5在AMD平台超9000 MT/s且DRAM产能继续扩张
事件对长鑫存储产业链方向偏正面,但核心事实多为TechPowerUp、Wccftech、ITHome、Reuters、Dealsite等既有报道的汇总,不是单一订单、获批或指引上修。
📄 原文TrendForce↗ 原文
[News] CXMT DDR5 Reportedly Tops 9,000 MT/s on AMD Platform, Narrowing Performance Gap With Global Leaders China’s DRAM…
不做 兆易创新(603986.SH)
长鑫绑定逻辑成立但已被IPO和国产DRAM主题反复交易,本条未披露新增订单、股权变化或业绩量级,且缺少实时行情验证。
不做 北方华创(002371.SZ)
设备链受益需要落到长鑫资本开支或采购订单,本条只是性能和产能背景汇总,无法形成可执行短线edge。
不做 雅克科技(002409.SZ)
材料供应链传导未坐实到本次DDR5进展的新增采购,且无订单金额和价格轨迹支持,不做。
不做 中微公司(688012.SH)
长鑫扩产长期利好设备商,但本条没有新增中标、份额或金额,作为盘中追多催化不足。
不做 江波龙(301308.SZ)
下游模组受益逻辑偏间接,未确认其采用本次CXMT DDR5颗粒或新增销售弹性。
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)
研究档案
消息传播链
- TrendForce发布本次具体汇总文章,内容转引TechPowerUp、Colorful微博、Wccftech、MyDrivers、ITHome、Reuters和Dealsite等来源。
- 长鑫存储IPO及全产业链受益标的名单已在7月被市场化内容广泛梳理,说明二阶映射并非本次首次出现。
- 同日已有长鑫存储IPO产业链分层梳理,覆盖股权、设备、材料、封测和模组环节。
关键理由
- 事件对长鑫存储产业链方向偏正面,但核心事实多为TechPowerUp、Wccftech、ITHome、Reuters、Dealsite等既有报道的汇总,不是单一订单、获批或指引上修。
- A股可映射到长鑫存储股权、设备、材料、封测和模组链,但长鑫IPO及国产DRAM产业链名单已在7月被广泛梳理,本条新增预期差有限。
- 量级上未披露任何新增采购金额、资本开支上修或供应商订单,无法估算对候选公司收入、利润或市值的新增贡献。
主要风险
- 长鑫存储相关A股产业链在7月IPO、扩产和国产DRAM主题中已被反复交易,本条作为行业媒体汇总容易被视为确认性背景而非新催化。
- 未能用行情工具取得候选股实时价格与近20日轨迹,因此不能确认可执行入场价、抢跑程度和流动性边界。
反向证据
先例如何影响了这次决策
对本次决策的影响:先例不足叠加无法查实时行情,使决策从方向偏正面降为不下单。
方向:没有可直接用于校准的同市场、同机制、同相位先例;本条更接近行业媒体汇总确认,而非订单、获批或正式指引。
涨幅量级:缺少高相似先例和新增金额,不能用历史样本给出可交易涨幅区间。
形态:长鑫产业链名单旧、主题扩散早,确认性报道存在高开低走或无反应风险,但本轮未取得真实日线事件研究结果。
原文全文
展开原文 · 3,493 字
[News] CXMT DDR5 Reportedly Tops 9,000 MT/s on AMD Platform, Narrowing Performance Gap With Global Leaders
China’s DRAM maker CXMT is advancing at a rapid pace. According to TechPowerUp , Colorful ’s CXMT-based DDR5 memory has surpassed 9,000 MT/s on an AMD platform, highlighting improving overclocking potential. A 48GB (24GB×2) iGame Shadow II kit running on Colorful’s iGame X870E VULCAN W OC motherboard reached 4,507 MHz, equivalent to over 9,014 MT/s effective speed with DDR. The result marks a notable step up from late 2025, when CXMT announced DDR5 capable of reaching 8,000 MT/s.
CXMT is also making progress on memory latency. As the report indicates, Colorful is testing 48GB (24GB×2) iGame Shadow II kits on ASUS motherboards, targeting ultra-low latency comparable to products using DRAM from the top three memory makers. On the latest AMD and Intel platforms, Colorful has tested DDR5-6000 at CL30, with preliminary tests also reaching CL28.
Progress is also evident on the manufacturing side. According to Wccftech , citing MyDrivers , CXMT’s 17nm DDR5 chips have achieved a 90% yield. The chips are produced on a 17nm-class process, while other memory makers, such as Micron, manufacture DDR5 on more advanced 10nm-class processes and rely on extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography.
CXMT-based DDR5 is also gaining broader platform support. According to ITHome , GIGABYTE announced in July that its full lineup of DDR5 motherboards now supports memory modules using CXMT DRAM dies, with AMD 800- and 600-series boards supporting speeds of up to 8,200 MT/s for CXMT-based 16Gb and 24Gb DDR5.
According to TrendForce, CXMT ranked fourth among DRAM suppliers by revenue in 1Q26 with a 7.6% market share. Samsung, SK hynix, and Micron remained the top three suppliers, collectively accounting for 89.7% of the global market.
CXMT Expands Capacity as DRAM Tightness Strengthens Pricing
CXMT is also accelerating its manufacturing expansion. Reuters notes, citing sources, that the company is planning a second 12-inch DRAM fab in Beijing, alongside new projects in Shanghai and Hefei. CXMT is reportedly seeking at least RMB 60 million (US$8.9 million) in support from the Beijing Economic-Technological Development Area, with other state-owned technology companies also interested in participating in the financing.
As noted by Dealsite , the ongoing DRAM shortage and price surge are creating a favorable environment for CXMT as Samsung Electronics and SK hynix prioritize server and HBM capacity, tightening conventional DRAM supply. With demand outpacing supply, CXMT has been able to absorb orders without significant price discounts. Industry sources indicate that its average DRAM selling prices are now only 5%–10% below those of Samsung and SK hynix, with CXMT products even trading above Samsung’s prices in some parts of the Chinese market.
CXMT is actively expanding its manufacturing footprint. Dealsite adds that monthly capacity is expected to rise from around 300,000 wafers currently to roughly 350,000 by year-end and further to about 500,000 by the end of 2028.
Read more
[News] CXMT Reportedly Eyes Second Beijing 12-inch DRAM Fab; HP, Asus, and Acer Said to Begin Limited Use
[News] CXMT’s 471% STAR Debut Makes It China’s Top Listed Firm, Reshaping Global Memory Dynamics
(Photo credit: CXMT)
Please note that this article cites information from TechPowerUp , Colorful on Weibo , Wccftech , MyDrivers , ITHome , Reuters , and Dealsite .
China’s DRAM maker CXMT is advancing at a rapid pace. According to TechPowerUp , Colorful ’s CXMT-based DDR5 memory has surpassed 9,000 MT/s on an AMD platform, highlighting improving overclocking potential. A 48GB (24GB×2) iGame Shadow II kit running on Colorful’s iGame X870E VULCAN W OC motherboard reached 4,507 MHz, equivalent to over 9,014 MT/s effective speed with DDR. The result marks a notable step up from late 2025, when CXMT announced DDR5 capable of reaching 8,000 MT/s.
CXMT is also making progress on memory latency. As the report indicates, Colorful is testing 48GB (24GB×2) iGame Shadow II kits on ASUS motherboards, targeting ultra-low latency comparable to products using DRAM from the top three memory makers. On the latest AMD and Intel platforms, Colorful has tested DDR5-6000 at CL30, with preliminary tests also reaching CL28.
Progress is also evident on the manufacturing side. According to Wccftech , citing MyDrivers , CXMT’s 17nm DDR5 chips have achieved a 90% yield. The chips are produced on a 17nm-class process, while other memory makers, such as Micron, manufacture DDR5 on more advanced 10nm-class processes and rely on extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography.
CXMT-based DDR5 is also gaining broader platform support. According to ITHome , GIGABYTE announced in July that its full lineup of DDR5 motherboards now supports memory modules using CXMT DRAM dies, with AMD 800- and 600-series boards supporting speeds of up to 8,200 MT/s for CXMT-based 16Gb and 24Gb DDR5.
According to TrendForce, CXMT ranked fourth among DRAM suppliers by revenue in 1Q26 with a 7.6% market share. Samsung, SK hynix, and Micron remained the top three suppliers, collectively accounting for 89.7% of the global market.
CXMT Expands Capacity as DRAM Tightness Strengthens Pricing
CXMT is also accelerating its manufacturing expansion. Reuters notes, citing sources, that the company is planning a second 12-inch DRAM fab in Beijing, alongside new projects in Shanghai and Hefei. CXMT is reportedly seeking at least RMB 60 million (US$8.9 million) in support from the Beijing Economic-Technological Development Area, with other state-owned technology companies also interested in participating in the financing.
As noted by Dealsite , the ongoing DRAM shortage and price surge are creating a favorable environment for CXMT as Samsung Electronics and SK hynix prioritize server and HBM capacity, tightening conventional DRAM supply. With demand outpacing supply, CXMT has been able to absorb orders without significant price discounts. Industry sources indicate that its average DRAM selling prices are now only 5%–10% below those of Samsung and SK hynix, with CXMT products even trading above Samsung’s prices in some parts of the Chinese market.
CXMT is actively expanding its manufacturing footprint. Dealsite adds that monthly capacity is expected to rise from around 300,000 wafers currently to roughly 350,000 by year-end and further to about 500,000 by the end of 2028.
Read more
[News] CXMT Reportedly Eyes Second Beijing 12-inch DRAM Fab; HP, Asus, and Acer Said to Begin Limited Use
[News] CXMT’s 471% STAR Debut Makes It China’s Top Listed Firm, Reshaping Global Memory Dynamics
(Photo credit: CXMT)
Please note that this article cites information from TechPowerUp , Colorful on Weibo , Wccftech , MyDrivers , ITHome , Reuters , and Dealsite .
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