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📊 TrendForceTrendForceQwen · 实盘不做把握 8/10不做原因:消息已过时
北京时间·🕒 发布 08:30:01·⟳ 抓取 08:30:42 +41s·⚡ 决策 08-27 13:19:40 +4h48m·61.5 天前

TrendForce综述蓝思科技与立讯精密2026上半年业绩分化:蓝思利润近腰斩、立讯营收增40%,并回顾折叠屏iPhone UTG供应链

TrendForce文章是对已披露半年报和已广泛传播的折叠屏iPhone供应链信息的二次综述,无新增事实;两标的今日股价均无反应,确认信息已被市场消化;折叠屏UTG催化在7月初已被我们交易过,IDC折叠屏预测和苹果发布会也在过去24小时内被判为不做

📄 原文TrendForce↗ 原文
[News] Apple Suppliers Diverge in 1H26: Lens Profit Nearly Halves on Rising Memory Costs, Luxshare Revenue Jumps 40% Ap…
不做 蓝思科技(300433.SZ)
1H26利润下滑为已披露旧闻(巨潮数周前已公告),折叠屏UTG催化7月初已广泛传播并被交易(案例库7月2日/5日已ENTER),今日股价-0.31%无反应确认已充分定价,无新增边际信息
不做 立讯精密(002475.SZ)
1H26营收+40%为已披露旧闻,数据中心+汽车高增长已被市场知晓数周;股价近5日已反弹6.75%反映修复预期,今日-0.32%无新增催化驱动,无交易edge
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)

研究档案

结论摘要

TrendForce 2026-08-27文章汇总蓝思科技1H26利润近腰斩(存储成本+汇率)和立讯精密营收+40%(汽车+数据中心),并回顾折叠屏iPhone UTG供应(蓝思70%份额、单机$175、备货上调至1000万台)。所有数据均来自已公开的半年报披露(巨潮)和7月初已广泛传播的日经/财闻报道。案例库显示折叠屏催化7月2日/5日已ENTER过300433.SZ,IDC折叠屏预测和苹果9月9日发布会分别在今日和昨日被判不做。两标的今日盘中均微跌约0.3%,无新增信息溢价。结论:旧闻综述,无交易edge。

🔎 新鲜度:最早出现 2026-08-27 · 扩散 high · price-in 风险 high ↗

消息传播链

  1. 2026-08-27 08:30 TWT行业媒体转载TrendForce非一手原文 ↗
    TrendForce汇总南华早报、财闻、日经已公开报道,无新增一手信息;发布时间为台北时间8月27日上午,属事后综述

反向证据

  • 做多前查反向 · 来源 web · 影响 none
    未找到8月新增订单或超预期进展的一手证据;折叠屏UTG叙事停留在7月已知的70%份额和1000万台备货
    检索:蓝思科技 折叠屏 UTG 新增订单 2026年8月
  • 做多前查反向 · 来源 web · 影响 none
    未找到超越已披露半年报的新增催化;液冷进入NVIDIA MGX生态为已知信息
    检索:立讯精密 数据中心 新增客户 订单 2026年8月

先例如何影响了这次决策

对本次决策的影响:本次事件为旧闻综述,无需先例校准

方向:无新催化可测,不适用

涨幅量级:不适用

形态:不适用

工具调用 · 历史记录,结果未知(6 种)
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  • web_search · 结果未知
  • kb_search · 结果未知
  • stock_quote · 结果未知
  • search_case_library · 结果未知

原文全文

展开原文 · 3,734 字
[News] Apple Suppliers Diverge in 1H26: Lens Profit Nearly Halves on Rising Memory Costs, Luxshare Revenue Jumps 40%
Apple suppliers in China, Lens Technology and Luxshare, saw their first-half fortunes diverge sharply, as soaring memory prices squeezed the consumer electronics supply chain. According to South China Morning Post, Lens Technology’s net profit nearly halved to RMB 577 million (US$85.8 million) in the six months through June, while revenue fell 12.4% to RMB 28.9 billion.
Lens Technology attributed the decline to rising memory costs, which weakened consumer electronics demand and prompted production cuts at its Xiangtan factory. Exchange-rate fluctuations also weighed on earnings, the report notes.
Lens Technology Eyes Growth From Foldable iPhone UTG
Foldables are seen as Lens Technology’s biggest near-term earnings catalyst. According to Chinese media outlet Caiwens, sources say the company is a key Ultra-Thin Glass (UTG) supplier for Apple’s first foldable iPhone, with an estimated 70% supply share. Shipments reportedly began at the end of 2Q26, with production set to ramp in the second half.
The opportunity could be sizable if Apple’s foldable iPhone reaches its expected production scale. Nikkei, citing sources, notes that Apple has told suppliers to prepare to produce about 10 million foldable iPhones this year, up from an earlier forecast of 7 million to 8 million units. Caiwens adds that Lens Technology’s components could be worth around $175 per foldable iPhone, about 3.5x more than in a conventional smartphone.
Risks remain, however. Caiwens notes that the foldable iPhone’s expected high price could weigh on demand, while the technical complexity of UTG could pressure yields, costs, and margins during the initial production ramp, despite Lens Technology’s central-thinning process achieving yields above 90%. Competition could also intensify. As Caiwens points out, Apple could eventually introduce a second supplier under its typical dual-sourcing strategy, potentially pressuring Lens Technology’s share and pricing.
Another potential growth area for Lens Technology is Through Glass Via (TGV) technology for AI computing, targeting next-generation advanced packaging. However, Caiwens notes that TGV remains in customer validation and has yet to reach mass production, while its partnership with Intel remains a strategic memorandum rather than firm orders. Moving from validation to meaningful revenue could take one to two years, the report adds.
Luxshare Revenue Jumps 40% on Automotive and Data Center Growth
In contrast, South China Morning Post notes that Apple supplier Luxshare Precision Industry has weathered the headwinds by diversifying beyond smartphones. First-half revenue surged 40% to RMB 174.5 billion, while net profit rose 18% to RMB 7.8 billion, driven primarily by its fast-growing automotive electronics and data center businesses. Consumer electronics accounted for 70% of revenue, down from 82% a year earlier.
Luxshare is also expanding across the AI computing supply chain. As noted by National Business Daily, its communications and data center business generated RMB 16.61 billion in first-half revenue, up 49.66% YoY, while gross margin rose to 17.29%, making it one of the company’s highest-margin core businesses. The segment covers interconnects, thermal management, and power solutions, with Luxshare’s liquid-cooling products already entering NVIDIA’s MGX ecosystem, the report adds.
Read more
- [News] Apple’s First Foldable iPhone Nears Fall Debut: TSMC 2nm A20 Pro, Crease-Free Display Lead Rumored Features
- [News] China’s Lens, BOE Advance Glass Substrates as Taiwan’s Supply Chain Prepares for TSMC’s CoPoS
(Photo credit: Lens Technology)

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