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🇺🇸 美股盘后复盘US Close WrapCodex · 实盘不做把握 3/10标签:us_close_wrap不做原因:其他
北京时间·🕒 发布 06:09:35时区推断·⟳ 抓取 06:26:29·⚡ 决策 08-26 06:32:20 +5m51s·62.3 天前

英伟达财报前AI芯片链反弹,约920亿美元收入预期已广泛传播但尚未形成供应链新增订单事实

供应链关系强且报价已核,但本催化只是财报前约920亿美元预期交易,非新增订单或指引;8月25日已涨1.05%,亚洲开盘追多edge不足。

📄 原文US Close Wrap美股盘后复盘
# 美股盘后催化 1/11: 英伟达财报前AI芯片链反弹,市场等待约920亿美元季度收入验证AI需求 - 美股会话: 2026-08-25 - 方向: POSITIVE;类型: 财报/指引;规划重大性: 9/10 - 映射模式: supp…
不做 台积电(2330.TW)
供应链关系强且报价已核,但本催化只是财报前约920亿美元预期交易,非新增订单或指引;8月25日已涨1.05%,亚洲开盘追多edge不足。
不做 SK海力士(000660.KS)
NVIDIA多年AI内存合作属既有事实,HBM受益逻辑已被市场长期交易;本次无新增份额、价格或订单证据,无法区分alpha与AI链beta。
不做 三星电子(005930.KS)
AI存储需求利好被HBM认证和份额不确定性抵消,且近期股价主要受股东回报方案失望影响,本次NVIDIA财报前预期不足以开多。
不做 日月光投控(3711.TW)
SPIL与NVIDIA封测关系成立且报价已核,但订单量级未随本催化新增披露,8月25日未形成可交易的未定价缺口。
不做 Advantest(6857.JP)
仅为日本半导体设备主题beta,未坐实本次NVIDIA财报前预期对应的直接订单或收入敞口。
不做 Disco(6146.JP)
半导体设备链映射过长,缺少NVIDIA本次财报窗口的公司级新增事实。

另有 1 腿,见展开详情。

展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)

其余 1 腿

不做 Tokyo Electron(8035.JP)
属于先进制程资本开支beta而非NVIDIA直接供应链确认,本催化未提供订单、份额或价格变化。

研究档案

🔎 新鲜度:最早出现 2026-08-25 · 扩散 high · price-in 风险 high ↗ ↗ ↗

消息传播链

  1. 2026-08-25 16:03 ET市场反应Bloomberg TV+ The Close非一手原文 ↗
    节目称Nvidia上涨约2.2%,投资者等待次日财报验证AI产业需求。
    市场反应:NVDA收涨约2.2%,半导体板块跑赢。
  2. 2026-08-25 18:08 ET扩散Bloomberg Markets Wrap非一手原文 ↗
    报道称亚洲股市有望上涨,交易员等待Nvidia业绩为AI前景提供线索,分析师预期季度收入约920亿美元。
    市场反应:亚洲股指期货偏强。
  3. 2026-08-25 18:09 ET扩散CNBC Daily Stock Market Live非一手原文 ↗
    CNBC称Nvidia将在周三盘后发布二季度财报,LSEG预期收入约921.8亿美元。
    市场反应:美股期货接近平盘。
  4. 2026-08-24扩散S&P Global Market Intelligence非一手原文 ↗
    Visible Alpha一致预期NVIDIA fiscal Q2 2027收入约922亿美元,市场关注数据中心与AI需求持续性。
    市场反应:预期在事件前已形成。

关键理由

  • 本催化核心是NVDA财报前仓位回补和AI链风险偏好修复,不是正式财报、订单或指引披露。
  • 台积电、SK海力士、三星电子、日月光投控与NVIDIA AI链关系成立,但本次没有新增份额、价格或订单量级证据。
  • 亚洲开盘前多源已报道约920亿美元收入预期,且核心供应链个股8月25日本地收盘已有不同程度反应,追多edge不足。

主要风险

  • 若NVIDIA正式财报、数据中心收入和下一季指引显著超预期,供应链可能出现第二轮上修。
  • 本轮运行环境未暴露stock_tools MCP的stock_quote、kb_search、supply_chain_lookup、event_study和search_case_library,只能用Web报价与公开披露替代,按fail-closed不下单。

反向证据

  • 做多前查反向 · 来源 web · 日期 2026-08-25 · 影响 weakens
    CNBC、Bloomberg、S&P Global、MarketWatch等均已报道NVIDIA财报预期和芯片股反弹,降低亚洲开盘追多edge。
    检索:Nvidia earnings expected revenue already widely reported before Asia open 原文 ↗
  • 做多前查反向 · 来源 web · 日期 2026-08-20 · 影响 weakens
    中国H200进口虽有放松但仍受审批、部署和政策约束,正式财报前无法判断中国收入贡献。
    检索:Nvidia China restrictions H200 2026 impact AI GPU demand suppliers 原文 ↗
  • 做多前查反向 · 来源 web · 日期 2026-08-25 · 影响 weakens
    公开材料只支持HBM供应主题,未确认三星在本次NVIDIA财报窗口有新增认证或份额提升。
    检索:Samsung HBM Nvidia certification uncertainty 2026 原文 ↗
  • 做多前查反向 · 来源 web · 日期 2026-08-25 · 影响 weakens
    MarketWatch称J.P. Morgan关注NVIDIA财报后竞争力和HBM供应评论,且过去四个季度NVIDIA财报后股价平均下跌3%-5%,提示财报前预期交易不等于低风险多头。
    检索:Nvidia earnings preview post earnings stock reaction last four quarters 原文 ↗

先例如何影响了这次决策

对本次决策的影响:先例缺失叠加非正式财报事实,确认最终不做。

方向:无合格先例,不用先例放大方向。

涨幅量级:无可量化幅度。

形态:财报前预期交易的主要风险是正式披露前已price-in。

原文全文

展开原文 · 29,722 字
# 美股盘后催化 1/11: 英伟达财报前AI芯片链反弹,市场等待约920亿美元季度收入验证AI需求

- 美股会话: 2026-08-25
- 方向: POSITIVE;类型: 财报/指引;规划重大性: 9/10
- 映射模式: supply_chain
- 美股驱动(规划器初判,需独立核验): 事实:NVDA收涨2.19%,结束近期弱势,半导体ETF普遍跑赢;多源将周三盘后英伟达财报视为AI盈利预期和科技估值的关键验证,市场预期季度收入约920亿美元。推断:当天上涨更像财报前AI链仓位回补和风险偏好修复,基本面仍需正式财报、订单和指引确认。

## 本催化相关美股真实收盘行情

- 规划器没有给出可取价的美股 ticker;必须联网核实具体 mover。

## 亚太映射假设(仅候选,必须查证)

- 台积电 (待归一) [TW/供应商/positive]: 若NVDA财报确认AI GPU需求和先进制程订单强劲,先进制程及CoWoS相关收入预期可能受益。;核验问题: 核实NVDA最新数据中心指引、Blackwell/后续平台出货、先进封装产能和台积电订单能见度。
- SK海力士 (待归一) [KR/供应商/positive]: AI加速器需求延续将支撑HBM出货、价格和产能利用率。;核验问题: 核实NVDA下一代GPU对应HBM规格、SK海力士供货份额和价格条款。
- 三星电子 (待归一) [KR/供应商/mixed]: AI GPU需求强劲利好高端存储,但三星HBM份额和认证进度决定弹性。;核验问题: 核实其HBM认证、订单份额和产能爬坡。
- 日月光投控 (待归一) [TW/供应商/positive]: AI芯片需求延续可能推升先进封装、测试和外包需求。;核验问题: 核实其在AI GPU/ASIC封测中的实际参与度和产能利用率。

## 必答问题

- NVDA财报中数据中心收入、毛利率、订单能见度和中国限制影响分别如何?
- 亚洲供应链中哪些公司有确认订单而非仅板块beta?

## 原始证据全文(3 条)

### [E0001] Bloomberg TV+ · The Close | 2026-08-25 20:14 UTC | 收盘后
Bloomberg TV+ The Close transcript · 2026-08-25
URL: https://www.bloomberg.com/live/us
[15:55:00 ET] Is that it is incredibly amorphous, yes, there are components that are far more tangible like inflation expectations.
[15:55:08 ET] Components that are just a catch all of different reasons why an investor would want to own treasury.
[15:55:16 ET] or would not want to, and of course, that all gets priced in and I think now we're headed upward because the risks are growing.
[15:55:24 ET] I think then that inflationary pressures are maybe not as relevant to Treasury yields if we get a softer PCE if continue.
[15:55:32 ET] That trajectory that we've had in the last month of inflation readings, it's not really going to do much to bring yields down well I certainly think.
[15:55:40 ET] On the margins and especially in the shorter term it could, but I think longer term and really more even just in the next several months.
[15:55:48 ET] And beyond, we're going to see yields go higher, not lower in this environment. Keep in mind, we continue to have AI related.
[15:55:56 ET] Corporate debt issuance that is also taking away some of the potential buyers for treasury or at least.
[15:56:04 ET] Forcing up yields further, what does it mean for the Fed. Well, that's a far more complicated question.
[15:56:12 ET] An answer because we just don't exactly know what the calculus is for the fed yet right, and perhaps we'll get some of that in the jack.
[15:56:20 ET] hole speech this friday, but right now what it seems is that the fed is looking to markets to.
[15:56:28 ET] At least the fed chair is looking to markets to tell him what they believe is had.
[15:56:36 ET] But what we have is a number of other FOMC participants who seem ready to hike rates if inflation.
[15:56:44 ET] Remas at this level or moves higher mean i think the FOMc minutes were quite stunning in terms of the number.
[15:56:52 ET] That are very very predisposed to hike rates so what do you think, I guess what do you want to?
[15:57:00 ET] From war on Friday, you may not get it, what do you want to hear out of him and are you concerned that he might make a mistake communication?
[15:57:08 ET] Well, I'm not concerned that he might make a mistake and I will give the caveat that these.
[15:57:16 ET] mittees, I think he refers to them as task forces were only put together several months ago. So, I mean, ideally, it would be nice.
[15:57:24 ET] To have reported back and him come back with recommendations, policy proposals, talk about sort of you know the mechanics of.
[15:57:32 ET] How he wants to quote unquote modernernize the Fed, I just think that that's unrealistic to anticipate just given the short timeline.
[15:57:40 ET] So he could very well just be laying out some broader policy goals.
[15:57:48 ET] Whats similar to his speech after the first FOMc meeting now we could get some things like we're going to have fewer FOMc meetings which.
[15:57:56 ET] meetings, which seemed to come from the minutes. We could get some specifics like that, but I think it's going to be a view.
[15:58:04 ET] 4 feetAll right, china have to leave it there china hooper, chief market strategist over at man group counting us down to the closing bells.
[15:58:12 ET] Stocks up fractionally on the day yields down so too as oil, a full breakdown of all of today's market action starts right now.
[15:58:20 ET] The closing bell, Bloomberg's comprehensive cross platform coverage of the US. market close.
[15:58:28 ET] Right now and right now we are.
[15:58:36 ET] Mute away from the end of the trading day romaine botic here with em grafa taking you through to that closing bell it's a global signcast joins us along.
[15:58:44 ET] Norada welcome to our audiences across all of our bloomloberg platforms, television, radio, our partnership with YouTube fractional gains on.
[15:58:52 ET] For the major U. indices ti stnik with yields down oil down as well, the dollar flat on the day now i'm glad you went to oil.
[15:59:00 ET] Exact where I'm looking, we see brt down about 5% right now, 4.5% lower for WTI, but we were just talking about.
[15:59:08 ET] PI mean, still high relative to where they were just a few months ago, I mean, you still have these benchmarks up more than 40%.
[15:59:16 ET] This year and the AAA gas price average up to 41 right now or close to 410. So that's something that folks.
[15:59:24 ET] of midtermYeah, another thing that they're watching closely is that AI traded with a lot of folks looking ahead to nvidia earnings.
[15:59:32 ET] Tim and I earlier and in the show on business week just talking about the fact that this used to be a market Super Bowl, still a very consequential earnings report.
[15:59:40 ET] When you see a little bit less concentration, you start to see investors looking in other places as well, but if you take a look at the socks index as we're heading into the closing zone.
[15:59:48 ET] Remember when Joe Wins all had like didn't they have like a watch party somewhere at some bar in New York, Im like I believe it it was a time, there was a different time room.
[15:59:56 ET] Now there are a lot of ways you can look at the AI trade, right Ab.
[16:00:04 ET] WorkingI'm noting, we should point out we are going to get some earnings from the software side intotu it and zoom box also set the report.
[16:00:12 ET] Obviously a little bit less consequential than in video, but we'll bring you those numbers as soon as we get them meanwhile the numbers for the broader market.
[16:00:20 ET] Mostly in the green on the day, the dow Jones industrial average, the s& 500 each up about 3 tenths of a percent on the day.
[16:00:28 ET] Nasq composite and the nasdaq 100 each up about six tenths of a percent on the day and the Ru of 2000.
[16:00:36 ET] InOn the action on the day up about 15 points or about half a percent we are getting.
[16:00:44 ET] out right now into it actually crossing the wire right now, net revenue in its most recent fiscal quarter coming in at about 4.35 billion.
[16:00:52 ET] Appear to be a beat based on the average of estimates collected by bloomberg, but here's your forecast going forward.
[16:01:00 ET] The company says that for the full fiscal year that has already started 2027, fiscal year revenue will be in a range of 23.28 billion.
[16:01:08 ET] 23.51 billion the low end of that range is right around the average of street estimates, average operating income for the full year.
[16:01:16 ET] 8.06 to 8.15 billion that's below the average of street estimates, which we're tracking closer to 10 billion EPA.
[16:01:24 ET] The range is 22.8 to 23.12 the street that's well below what street was looking for they were looking for about 27 bucks.
[16:01:32 ET] And shares taken head in the after hours now as a result down about 11%, remember, this is a company buying tuurboax, credit karma, QuickBooks, maililchimp.
[16:01:40 ET] Intuit enterprise sweet and more, I mean, this is a company it's down 46% Emily since.
[16:01:48 ET] This year, I mean, it's a consequence of the so called SaSpocalypse, at least as of now Yeah, it's been tough for those software names. I do want to get back to the.
[16:01:56 ET] Regular trading session though before we get back to earnings just taking a look at kind of how sectors fared out, it was mostly green.
[16:02:04 ET] Look at the IM in the S&P 500 information tech communication services materials, those were the leaders in terms of the S&P 500 groups.
[16:02:12 ET] energy we know that oil down about 5%, so those energy stocks getting dragged down, staples and industrials also lower.
[16:02:20 ET] Okay,'re on a few more earnings, including Zoom and box, we'll bring those to you as we do get them in the meantime, do you want to take a look at some stocks that were higher today in the essence?
[16:02:28 ET] 500 the best performer was Moderna up 14% this after last week's rally shares cruising higher this year, but still.
[16:02:36 ET] Just about 60% from those 2021 highs, all time highs in the COviID world, our shares actually moved higher today as a result of what happened.
[16:02:44 ET] Last week, Wolf research out with a note upgrading the company to peer perform from underperform, citing the success of its melanoma vaccine.
[16:02:52 ET] analyst Alexandria Hammond saying the positive trial results derisk the platform for Moder share Moder.
[16:03:00 ET] The best performer in the S&P, 14% today, also taking a look at shares of NviDdia ahead of that report tomorrow NviIdia shares higher this year.
[16:03:08 ET] About 14%, so outperforming the S&P 500 up 2.2% today, this is the biggest.
[16:03:16 ET] Increase or excuse me, this is an increase based on the today's move up more than 2% the big question tomorrow.
[16:03:24 ET] the AI industry, yes, there's other ways we can look, but NviDdia is still the big player. What are the company's efforts to remain at the center of the AI?
[16:03:32 ET] And finally, one of the most actively traded stocks today, Re AI, it's a company with a market cap, just shy of about $2 billion shares were up.
[16:03:40 ET] More than 21% today we can go ahead and round that up. The company did say Google has selected its proprietary distributed database tech.
[16:03:48 ET] For deployment at the infrastructure level within Google Cloud, it marks the platform's first major commercial deployment investors cheering that news.
[16:03:56 ET] Shares up close to 22% today Well, there were a few names in the red as we closed out following that closing bell.
[16:04:04 ET] I'm taking a look at shares of dick's sporting goods, a brutal day for this company, shares of the company down about 31% on the day that's the worst day.
[16:04:12 ET] For dicks sporting goods and its lowest level since 2023, this all comes after the foot locker chain that it acquired last year.
[16:04:20 ET] Showing that it's continuing to struggle and really raising broader doubts about the sneaker market, the sneaker industry, the company saying at the foot.
[16:04:28 ET] Where market has become increasingly promotional last quarter That's after brands up discounting on their own websites and the company seeing a shift to.
[16:04:36 ET] LikeUgs and birk and sock, if you take a look at shares of Nikke also falling down about 3% after the closing bell and we know Nikke is a supply.
[16:04:44 ET] To both dick's sporting goods and foot locker so certainly seeing some investors shifting out of that name was the last time you were in a foot locker norra meinda?
[16:04:52 ET] I was just talking about this earlier with Tim, I can't remember the last time I was in a foot locker or the last time I was in big sporting goods Wow I to be.
[16:05:00 ET] Dix is huge in New York Well di' is big and the thing is like we talk about this idea of a company when they had made this announcement.
[16:05:08 ET] Back in early 2025 May 2025 it was pretty widely derided i mean di was growing, it was growing four, five, six% on.
[16:05:16 ET] Sa foot locker was shrinking, it had a negative sign in front of its comp sales number and everybody said, why would you buy this company and now here we are.
[16:05:24 ET] More than a year later and well, those questions are still being asked I mean we had Anthony Jaumbbo on from Luke Cap who.
[16:05:32 ET] It blunt, Emily, he basically said, I don't know what the heck they're doing and I'm cleaning it up family friendly and you have to remember too.
[16:05:40 ET] M of this is also just due to that weak in consumer we do have some earnings though remain get let' zm in on zoom communications in the most recent quarter.
[16:05:48 ET] It does look like most of the metrics did come in either in line with estimates or slightly above for the second quarter revenue of about 1.28 billion.
[16:05:56 ET] It was looking for about 1.27 so a slight beat there similar story on the adjusted eps basis, but let's go straight to the guidance.
[16:06:04 ET] For the full year, the company says that for the full year revenue, look for a 5.09 to 5.10, so basically 5.1.
[16:06:12 ET] billion dollars its previous guidance was for roughly about 5.09 so slightly raising that just a bit.
[16:06:20 ET] And the operating income side it given a range of 2.07 to 2.08 the previous estimate was for 2.07 so the top end of that.
[16:06:28 ET] Coming in slightly above that, most of the numbers pretty much track in that same vein here, basically either just above street estimate.
[16:06:36 ET] Buy a few bucks or so or maybe just right in line the shares lower by 4% all right you're watching zoom, I'm watching what's happening with B.
[16:06:44 ET] In the after hours, the shares for B, the content management platform down about 8% in the after hours taken away.
[16:06:52 ET] the company's latest report, the outlook, the company seeing fiscally or adjusted earnings per share, about $154.
[16:07:00 ET] $56, the estimate is for $58, so that coming in light shows down about 6.4% in addition to that, the company.
[16:07:08 ET] Sees fiscal year revenue coming in at $129 or excuse me, 1.29 billion saw $1.28 billion, the estimate is 1.2.
[16:07:16 ET] Bill dollars so as far as the outlook goes a beat on the top line, but a miss on the bottom line, the company sees third quarter adjusted EPS.
[16:07:24 ET] 39 cents, the estimates for 39 cents, second quarter revenue coming in above estimates at 321.1 million dollars the company sees a Q3.
[16:07:32 ET] Gap EPS at 12 cents that matches expectations shares down about 4.6%, 4.5% in the after hours.
[16:07:40 ET] I mean, you look at B and Zoom and into it, obviously three different companies, but to a certain extent, kind of all dealing with some of the same issues with AI.
[16:07:48 ET] And some of the new tools that are out there that to a certain extent chip away at some of the moat that they might have had and you know, I don't know.
[16:07:56 ET] goes I mean we had a great analyst on from Goldman yesterday Gabriela Borg, who kind of talked about this idea that the saspocalypse is overdone and.
[16:08:04 ET] AI buildout will actually end up benefiting them as it will actually increase usage on some of their platforms we've had some folks talk to us about that as well but you know,
[16:08:12 ET] We're not seeing that play out in the public markets yet and every stuck, every company is different too Yeah and don't forget I mean everyone's talking about N video.
[16:08:20 ET] Torow we get Salesforce tomorrow as well not to I'm sure they'll get overshadowed, but definitely interesting read on that side of the trade All right Salforce shares.
[16:08:28 ET] leastas this year have still taken a pretty big hit down about 22% guy aren't you No, it depends?
[16:08:36 ET] It depends on, yeah, I have slacked before, how's that, but you know, I'm all about the Bloomberg terminalmin and the I guy.
[16:08:44 ET] Come all right all right guys, we got to go, we'll see you tomorrow that is going to do it for a cross platform cover.
[16:08:52 ET] We'll have NviDdia earnings tomorrow, we will have, also, of course, Salesforce earnings tomorrow, we'll see you same time, same place.
[16:09:00 ET] Our coverage continues here on Bloberg talk about Wall Street.
[16:09:08 ET] they're fighting the wrong battle when it comes to retail investors Mitch Kaplan, the CEO of Willow Wealth and former CEO of E trade, who'll be joining us in just a second right.
[16:09:16 ET] Close right here on Bloomberg.
[16:09:24 ET] The.
[16:09:32 ET] The.
[16:09:40 ET] The.
[16:09:48 ET] The.
[16:09:56 ET] In case you missed it on Bloomberg open Inter.
[16:10:04 ET] It's a lot of realizations, the conversation for this industry, especially private equity had been, it's gummed up, there's a dam that needs to break.
[16:10:12 ET] The dam broke or is this just Carlisle doing a good job of selling we have Gs it's in the quarter from Japan, from Europe technology from U.
[16:10:20 ET] Real estate and our U buyout team, they've distributed 23% of fair market value over the last 12 months.
[16:10:28 ET] The industry average so for us it's more of the same capital markets are open, it's a good environment and we're finding great opportunities to exit and to invest.
[16:10:36 ET] There's a disconnect between buyers and sellers does that mean when you exit, you're having to take down valuations we're finding buyers both in.
[16:10:44 ET] M marketWe've also had very successful IPs in the past year, so we're really taking all opportunities to realize invest.
[16:10:52 ET] When we think it's the right time, don't miss open interest live weekdays.
[16:11:00 ET] Spotlight on a different aspect of global flows, funds and the forces shaping markets on IQ.
[16:11:08 ET] lopThe players behind major transactions on Bloberg deals rates, risk and the cost of capital on.
[16:11:16 ET] Real and personal finance retirement and wealth management on bloomberg money a different topic every weekday only.
[16:11:24 ET] We're television.
[16:11:32 ET] The countdown is on everything you need to get the edge at the.
[16:11:40 ET] And the market day this is the close Wecom back to the close I'm Romaine Baick.
[16:11:48 ET] A close look here at how Wall street finished the day, fractional gains for the sP, the Dow the nasdaq and the rus 2000 here on this tuesday.
[16:11:56 ET] Afternoon tech led the charge, but healthcare care got in on the action to the nasdaq biotech index up about 1.8% on.
[16:12:04 ET] A part of the upside that we saw in equities because of the downside we saw in yields and the downside that we saw in crude oil.
[16:12:12 ET] Prices down about 6% on the day to flip up the board and take a look at some of the individual gainers on the day n video snapping that.
[16:12:20 ET] day losing streak rallying about 2% ahead of its big earnings report just about 24 hours from now ad also getting in.
[16:12:28 ET] TheAction up about 5% that was on the back of an upgrade over at raymond jam actually says ad, not nvidia, actually has a better.
[16:12:36 ET] Of capturing some of the upside in the cpu marketMeanwhilewhile deckers was dragged down partly because of those results out of dick exporting goods.
[16:12:44 ET] Early today and target, well, let's just say another misstep, if you will, down about 4% on the day.
[16:12:52 ET] And we're going to move now to our top story of the hour, a model backdrop for markets, you got an S&P that remains range bound despite.
[16:13:00 ET] el attractive valuation and roughly 20 times forward earnings. You have benchmark Treasury yields that offer some compelling coupons.
[16:13:08 ET] At the same time are flashing yellow lights of caution. The tightest corporate debt spreads in years that would suggest calm, but also offer.
[16:13:16 ET] Attractive entry points for investment and you got global AI investment that Goldman now estimates will exceed $1 trillion dollars in 2026.
[16:13:24 ET] Though that report makes no mention of when and what the return on that investment will be, so what's an investor to do out there.
[16:13:32 ET] mer CEO of E trade Financial and now runs the private markets's investing platform willow wealthth mitch kplan joins us right now.
[16:13:40 ET] more about all of this all right Mitch, I do kind of want to start just with what we've kind of been seeing in the market lately because it's kind of been all over the place and I am curious.
[16:13:48 ET] As to how investors, particularly on the retail side, sort of behave in these types of situations, is there anything we can read into it?
[16:13:56 ET] Yeah, I mean, I think generally, just from my experience all the way back at e tradeade that investors are just looking for ways in which.
[16:14:04 ET] They can invest for the long term right like you have your group of investors who are more hyperactive trading.
[16:14:12 ET] You see it on some of the platforms that still exists today, but generally what we saw was the evolution of customers really trying to figure out how they build wealth.
[16:14:20 ET] And so whether they're thinking about ways to build a diversified portfolio in public markets, private markets, and you know, there's a lot of.
[16:14:28 ET] OutAnd I think that that's the part that confuses retail investors with regards, they like how people are positioning and allocating and particularly in life.
[16:14:36 ET] Some of the recent developments with regards to the Treasury department and the move in yields, you know, we've talked a lot on this show.
[16:14:44 ET] Obviously the traditional 6040 kind of you was put to bed a long time ago, there's a lot more allocation to private assets do you see people?
[16:14:52 ET] Particularly on your platform reaching more for some of those private assets, given what we're seeing in public bond markets and equity.

### [E0003] Bloomberg Markets Wrap | 2026-08-25 22:08 UTC | 收盘后
Asian Stocks Set to Gain as Oil Extends Declines: Markets Wrap
URL: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-08-25/asian-stocks-set-to-gain-as-oil-extends-declines-markets-wrap
Asian stocks were set to advance as falling oil prices eased inflation concerns and pushed bond yields lower, while traders awaited Nvidia Corp.’s earnings for fresh clues on the outlook for artificial intelligence.

Equity-index futures for Australia, Japan and South Korea all gained after a rebound in chipmakers snapped Nvidia’s seven-day losing streak ahead of its results later Wednesday. US stock futures were steady after the Nasdaq 100 Index closed 0.6% higher and the S&P 500 Index rose 0.3%.

US crude extended losses in early Asia trading following hopes for a revival of energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz after Iran and Oman discussed an interim framework. Lower oil prices helped push 10-year Treasury yields down seven basis points on Tuesday, while a gauge of dollar strength declined.

The retreat in oil is offering some relief to markets after persistent inflation and elevated yields have weighed on risk appetite. Investors are now looking to Nvidia’s results and Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech for signals on whether the AI rally can regain momentum and where interest rates are headed.

“This week is providing a better backdrop for yields to respond positively to the Treasury’s buyback plans as lighter-than-expected economic data and sinking oil prices lift momentum in the fixed-income complex,” said José Torres, senior economist at Interactive Brokers.

Analysts estimate Nvidia’s revenue nearly doubled from a year earlier to $92 billion last quarter, more than any of its rivals generate in a full year. The results will offer a key test of whether the AI boom can sustain the earnings expectations underpinning technology valuations.

“Nvidia is operating on all cylinders and they’re doing absolutely everything correctly at this point,” said Mark Malek at Siebert Financial. “We’re anticipating good news here, but so is everybody.”

Attention will then shift to the annual Jackson Hole Symposium on Friday, where Warsh will deliver his first major speech as Fed chair. Investors will be looking for greater clarity on his assessment of the economy and the path for monetary policy.

Data Tuesday showed US consumer confidence fell to a seven-month low in August as the outlook for business conditions and the labor market deteriorated. The Conference Board’s gauge declined 0.8 point to 89.4 after the prior month was revised lower.

“Consumers are optimistic about today but increasingly nervous about tomorrow,” said Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial. “Although employment conditions remain solid, fading expectations for income growth may act as a headwind to spending.”

Elsewhere, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney matched new tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump and announced support for businesses hurt by the escalating trade dispute with the country’s largest trading partner.

Trade talks between the two sides collapsed Friday, and Carney said Monday it had become clear that US officials were seeking to undermine key Canadian industries including steel, aluminum and auto manufacturing.

Canada will double existing counter-tariffs on US steel and aluminum products to 50%. American-made milk, furniture and clothing will also face new 50% duties, along with video-game consoles, smartphones and other electronics.

Corporate Highlights:

OpenAI said its new Jalapeno chips performed better than Nvidia’s current lineup during testing, underscoring progress developing AI processors in-house. SpaceX plans to build a new $100 billion launch site for its Starship rocket on the southern coast of Louisiana, allowing the company to expand operations of the behemoth vehicle that’s critical to its future. Apple Inc. announced upgraded Mac mini and Mac Studio desktop computers, giving the in-demand machines major processor upgrades. Lambda Inc., an AI cloud-computing provider backed by Nvidia, is in talks to raise as much as $3 billion in a round that could tee it up to go public next year, according to people familiar with the efforts. Dick’s Sporting Goods Inc. sank after the Foot Locker chain it acquired last year continued to struggle, raising doubts about the broader sneaker market.

For a list, click here.

Some of the main moves in markets:

Stocks

Hang Seng futures rose 0.4% as of 7:04 a.m. Tokyo time S&P/ASX 200 futures rose 0.3% Nikkei 225 futures were little changed

Currencies

The euro was little changed at $1.1677 The Japanese yen was little changed at 159.21 per dollar The offshore yuan was little changed at 6.7175 per dollar The Australian dollar was little changed at $0.7162

Cryptocurrencies

Bitcoin rose 0.5% to $78,626.82 Ether rose 0.2% to $2,441.64

Commodities

Spot gold was little changed West Texas Intermediate crude fell 1.5% to $81.12 a barrel

This story was produced with the assistance of Bloomberg Automation.

### [E0004] CNBC Daily Stock Market Live | 2026-08-25 22:09 UTC | 收盘后
Stock futures are little changed as traders await key inflation report, Nvidia earnings: Live updates
URL: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/25/stock-market-today-live-updates.html
Stock futures were near flat on Tuesday night ahead of the release of key U.S. inflation data along with Nvidia's latest quarterly results.
Dow Jones Industrial Average futures fell 0.02% or 11 points. S&P 500 futures were little changed Nasdaq-100 futures rose nearly 0.1%.
The major averages are coming off a winning session, boosted by falling yields and lower oil prices. The S&P 500 gained 0.3% in regular trading, while the Nasdaq Composite advanced 0.7%. The Dow climbed 160.24 points, or 0.3%, its third consecutive positive day.
July's personal consumption expenditures price index, a monthly report detailing changes in prices of goods and services, is set to release on Wednesday at 8:30 a.m. ET. It's the Federal Reserve's preferred metric of inflation and comes ahead of the central bank's September meeting.
Economists polled by Dow Jones expects a month-over-month increase of 0.1% and a year-over-year increase of 3.6%. In June, the report noted a decrease of 0.1% on a monthly basis and a 3.7% increase in an annual basis.
The report comes as Wall Street has been looking closely at bond yields too. U.S. Treasury yields hit multiyear highs last week, with the 30-year bond rate reaching levels not seen in nearly 20 years. However, yields fell broadly on Tuesday, with the 10-year yield losing almost 8 basis points on the day.
Nvidia, Jackson Hole ahead
Nvidia is set to report its earnings for the second quarter on Wednesday after the bell. Wall Street projects adjusted earnings per share of $2.10 on $92.18 billion in revenue, both of which are nearly twice the levels from last year, according to data from LSEG.
The report could be a bellwether for the broader market, given the chipmaker is the largest S&P 500 member, with a market cap of more than $5 trillion.
Investors are also eyeing Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's speech on Friday at the Fed's annual symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Though, some have noted Warsh could remain tight-lipped ahead of the Fed's monetary policy decision ahead of September.
"Given his approach to the June and July press conferences, we think it is unlikely that he would move straight to a deep dive into the current economic outlook and its implications for policy over the balance of 2026. Instead, we expect him to spend the bulk of his remarks on big-picture themes with an emphasis on the supply side and on how these topics will be addressed by the Task Forces," Piper Sandler's head of central bank policy Kurt Lewis wrote to clients.

## 研究交付要求

这是一条已经从整场材料语义拆出的独立催化,不要重新把它压回大盘总评。核实美股异动原因和传播时序;用结构化供应链、内部 KB 与公司披露坐实每个亚洲候选;逐腿查真实行情和本地市场 price-in;候选不成立也要逐条给出有证据的 AVOID。

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