PR Newswire TechnologyCodex · 实盘重复把握 6/10
北京时间·🕒 发布 20:46:00时区推断·⟳ 抓取 20:47:23·⚡ 决策 07-30 21:02:57 +15m34s·89.2 天前
RADCOM盘前预告二季度收入显著低于预期并下调全年收入指引
RADCOM(RDCM.US)将2026年收入指引中位数从此前78.6百万美元下调至60百万美元,降幅约23.7%,相当于当前约2.13亿美元市值的8.7%。
📄 原文PR Newswire Technology↗ 原文
RADCOM Announces Preliminary Second Quarter Revenue and Updated Full-Year Guidance
Customer Deployment Delays Driven by Higher Component Costs and Supply Constraints Impact Second Quarter Revenue and Fu…
逾期 · 盘前盘后行情未就绪计划建仓日 07-30(标的市场当地)
决策后走势暂无图(这条腿还没有复盘打分的日线切片)
💡 交易逻辑收入指引下修24%,盘前未重定价
怎么做空 开盘做空 不设价格下限(市价成交)
怎么平空 止盈 -7%(半仓)/-13%(清仓) · 止损 +5% · 时间止损 4日
展开详情(成交明细 / 研究档案 / 原文全文 / 决策记录链)
分时走势
做空 RDCM.US RADCOM
建仓日早于近 30 天,只有日线图
成交明细 · 纸面
做空 RDCM.US RADCOM
| 收益状态 | 逾期 盘前盘后行情未就绪 |
|---|---|
| 进场成交 | — |
| 离场成交 | — |
| 计入 | 同日重复,不计入曲线 |
| 建仓日 | 2026-07-30 · 进场不早于新闻时刻 + 2 分钟 |
收益口径 event_time_plus_2min_10min_walk_open_topup_to_next_open_exchange_calendar_fill_model_local_notional_v9 · method_id m8db1cbc8f2d · 截至 2026-10-28 01:19
研究档案
消息传播链
- 公司一季度仍确认2026年收入增长8%-12%,中位数78.6百万美元,是本次下修的原基线。
- 公司此前仅预告8月12日发布二季度业绩,未披露收入下修。
- 公司首次披露二季度收入约12百万美元,并将全年收入展望降至57-63百万美元。市场反应:美股尚未开盘,行情工具最新价为7月29日收盘12.72美元。
关键理由
- RADCOM(RDCM.US)将2026年收入指引中位数从此前78.6百万美元下调至60百万美元,降幅约23.7%,相当于当前约2.13亿美元市值的8.7%。
- 二季度初步收入约12百万美元,较一季度18.6百万美元环比下降约35.5%,把此前“全年8%-12%增长”重置为约16%同比下滑。
- 高相似先例NTCT和ADTN在类似电信/网络客户延迟导致预告下修后3日中位约-13.2%,方向支持盘前做空但高相似样本不足3条,仓位维持small。
主要风险
- 公司称没有订单取消或竞争流失,且预计2026年全年仍保持非GAAP盈利,若开盘已大幅低开则剩余做空空间会被压缩。
- RADCOM市值小、日均成交额约162万美元,开盘波动和滑点风险较高;高相似干净先例只有1条,涨幅量级口径偏薄。
反向证据
- 做空前查反向 · 来源 kb_search · 影响 none
内部KB未命中直接支持RDCM的近期反向研报或纪要,未发现足以否定本次下修的反证。
检索:RADCOM RDCM recent customer deployment delays no cancellations competitive losses profitable 2027 growth - 做空前查反向 · 来源 web · 日期 2026-05-19 · 影响 weakens
公司一季度仍盈利且拥有108.4百万美元现金、无债,降低财务风险但不抵消收入指引大幅下修。
检索:RADCOM Q1 2026 results full-year 2026 revenue guidance cash no debt 原文 ↗ - 做空前查反向 · 来源 web · 日期 2026-07-30 · 影响 weakens
公司称没有订单取消或竞争流失且全年仍预计非GAAP盈利,说明利空主要是收入时点延迟而非需求彻底消失。
检索:RADCOM preliminary second quarter revenue no cancellations competitive losses non-GAAP profitable 2026 原文 ↗
先例如何影响了这次决策
对本次决策的影响:先例强化首轮SHORT结论,将止盈从6%/12%略调至7%/13%,但因高相似干净样本不足3条,仓位仍为small、置信度维持6。
方向:相似度加权3日胜率仅约15%,高相似NTCT/ADTN均为负,方向明确支持SHORT。
涨幅量级:高相似样本3日中位约-13.2%,但高相似且首发锚完全干净的样本只有NTCT一条(3日-17.4%),因此只用来支持7%/13%分档止盈,不提高到normal仓。
形态:多数先例是次日低开后仍继续走弱;RXT是少数因AI转型/融资叙事抵消而反弹的例外,RDCM本次没有同等级正面抵消。
历史先例(按相似度)
- 相似度 9/10 NTCT 2023-10-16 NETSCOUT盘前预告Q2收入低于预期并将FY2024收入指引从9.15-9.45亿美元降至8.40-8.60亿美元。 原文 ↗
事件后 +1日 -16.6% · +2日 -15.8% · +3日 -17.4% · +4日 -18.9% · +5日 -20.6%
相似度依据:同为美股电信/网络软件公司,盘前预告季度收入不及预期并因服务商客户支出/项目延迟下调全年指引,机制与RDCM最接近。
经验:客户部署或资本开支延迟即使被表述为时点问题,也会触发增长基线重估,次日低开后3日仍继续走弱。 - 相似度 8/10 ADTN 2026-07-22 ADTRAN因单一客户项目延迟和组件/运费成本上升,预告Q2收入与利润率低于此前指引,并给出偏弱Q3展望。 原文 ↗
事件后 +1日 -2.9% · +2日 -5.7% · +3日 -9.1% · +4日 -16.6%
⚠来源层级不符(声明wire/实为media) — 该行涨幅别用来定止盈止损
相似度依据:同为美股通信设备/网络链,单一客户项目延迟和组件成本冲击季度预告,与RDCM客户部署延迟高度相似,但未直接下修全年收入。
经验:开盘已经大幅下杀的同类预告仍可在随后数日继续下探,不能只因首日跌幅大就反手看多。 - 相似度 7/10 RXT 2026-07-09 Rackspace提供Q2初步结果并将FY2026收入展望下调1.5亿美元,原因包括资源/供给约束、业务退出和AI容量转型。 原文 ↗
事件后 +1日 +22.2% · +2日 +3.4% · +3日 +6.4% · +4日 +1.8% · +5日 -3.7%
相似度依据:同为美股技术服务公司且有初步结果与全年收入下修,但同时包含AI转型和融资叙事,正面抵消强于RDCM。
经验:若预告下修同时伴随强AI战略和融资叙事,首日大跌后可能技术性反弹;RDCM缺少类似强抵消,只能把它当仓位风险而非否定空头。 - 相似度 6/10 CRWV 2025-11-10 CoreWeave公布Q3强劲收入但因第三方数据中心交付延迟下调2025收入/运营收入指引。 原文 ↗
事件后 +1日 -16.3% · +2日 -19.1% · +3日 -25.8% · +4日 -26.8% · +5日 -28.7%
⚠锚前1-2日已异动9.1%>锚定日1.5% — 该行涨幅别用来定止盈止损
相似度依据:同为客户/交付延迟导致全年指引下修,但CoreWeave为高增长AI云公司且规模、估值和需求背景差异较大。
经验:即使需求叙事仍强,交付延迟造成的全年收入重置也会被市场继续向下修模,短线方向仍偏空。 - 相似度 6/10 CECO 2025-01-16 CECO预告Q4/FY2024收入和EBITDA低于指引,原因是客户驱动项目延迟,但同时披露订单和积压创纪录并确认2025展望。 原文 ↗
事件后 +1日 -7.9% · +2日 -4.3% · +3日 -8.1% · +4日 -5.3% · +5日 -8.1%
相似度依据:同为客户项目延迟导致初步业绩低于指引,但CECO属于工业项目公司且订单积压创纪录,业务节奏不同。
经验:即使公司强调订单和积压强劲,短期收入/EBITDA低于指引仍会先被交易成盈利下修。 - 相似度 6/10 RXST 2025-07-08 RxSight预告Q2收入低于预期并将2025收入指引从1.60-1.75亿美元下调至1.20-1.30亿美元,原因是设备销量骤降和商业执行转向。 原文 ↗
事件后 +1日 -37.8% · +2日 -33.9% · +3日 -37.5% · +4日 -39.5% · +5日 -41.8%
⚠锚前1-2日已异动5.4%>锚定日2.9% — 该行涨幅别用来定止盈止损
相似度依据:同为盘前初步收入和全年指引大幅下调,但为医疗设备商业执行问题,客户部署机制不同。
经验:全年收入指引一次性大幅下修可造成极端跳空,低开后短线反弹不改变5日仍深跌的风险。 - 相似度 5/10 PNR 2026-07-14 Pentair预告Q2销售和EPS显著低于原指引并下修2026全年指引,主要受泳池渠道库存去化影响,同时披露CFO离任。 原文 ↗
事件后 +1日 -15.0% · +2日 -13.2% · +3日 -17.5% · +4日 -17.9% · +5日 -18.8%
相似度依据:同为初步业绩和全年指引下修,但Pentair为工业大盘股且CFO离任叠加渠道库存,和RDCM小市值软件差异明显。
经验:大盘工业股遇到正式指引下修也会出现首日巨大低开并延续下跌,说明“已低开”不等于下修已完全消化。
工具调用 · 历史记录,结果未知(6 种)
- search_processed_events · 结果未知
- stock_quote · 结果未知
- kb_search · 结果未知
- search_case_library · 结果未知
- validate_order · 结果未知
- event_study · 结果未知
原文全文
展开原文 · 6,530 字
RADCOM Announces Preliminary Second Quarter Revenue and Updated Full-Year Guidance
Customer Deployment Delays Driven by Higher Component Costs and Supply Constraints Impact Second Quarter Revenue and Full-Year Outlook
Second Quarter Earnings Release Call to be held on August 12
TEL AVIV, Israel, July 30, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- RADCOM Ltd. (NASDAQ: RDCM) (the "Company") today announced preliminary second quarter revenue expectations and updated its full-year 2026 outlook ahead of its August 12, 2026 earnings release.
Based on preliminary analysis, management currently expects second quarter revenue to be approximately $12 million. This reflects customer deployment delays that have delayed customer purchasing decisions. The Company did not experience cancellations or competitive losses and believes these dynamics reflect timing considerations rather than changes in demand.
"These delays are impacting the purchasing decisions of several of our customers, affecting our second quarter revenue and full year guidance," commented RADCOM's Chief Executive Officer, Benny Eppstein. "These delays became evident during the last few weeks of the quarter, and, based on what we know today, they could continue to affect the timing of revenue through the balance of 2026."
As a result, management is reducing its full-year 2026 revenue outlook to a range of $57 - $63 million, with a midpoint of $60 million.
Management expects RADCOM to remain profitable on a non-GAAP basis for full-year 2026, inclusive of these revenue headwinds.
"Demand for our solutions and our relationships with existing customers remain strong," Mr. Eppstein added. "Our focus is on executing against the opportunities in front of us, supporting our existing customers and positioning the Company to return to sustainable growth as customer deployment activity normalizes. We expect to return to double-digit growth in 2027."
Second quarter financial results conference call:
As previously disclosed, RADCOM will release its financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026, on Wednesday, August 12, 2026, before the opening of the U.S. financial markets. RADCOM will host a conference call and live webcast to discuss the second quarter 2026 financial results on the same day, Wednesday, August 12, 2026, at 8:00 a.m. Eastern Time (3:00 p.m. Israel Time). Following formal remarks by RADCOM management, there will be a question-and-answer session.
Conference call details:
Date / Time: Wednesday, August 12, 2026, at 8:00 a.m. Eastern Time / 3:00 p.m. Israel Time
USA Toll-Free: 1-866-652-8972
USA Toll-Free (alternate): 1-800-994-4498
Local Access: 03-9180609
Webcast (live and replay): https://www.veidan-conferencing.com/radcom
An archived replay of the call will be available on the RADCOM website following the live event.
For all investor inquiries, please contact:
Investor Relations:
Rob Fink or Joey Delahoussaye
FNK IR
[email protected]
646-809-4048/312-809-1087
Company Contact:
Hod Cohen
CFO
+972-3-645-5055
[email protected]
About RADCOM
RADCOM (NASDAQ: RDCM) is a leading provider of advanced, intelligent assurance solutions with integrated AI Operations (AIOps) capabilities. Its flagship platform, RADCOM ACE, harnesses AI-driven analytics and generative AI (GenAI) to improve customer experiences. From lab testing to full-scale deployment, RADCOM utilizes cutting-edge networking technologies to capture and analyze real-time data. Its advanced 5G portfolio delivers end-to-end network observability, from the radio access network (RAN) to the core.
Designed to be open, vendor-neutral, and cloud-agnostic, RADCOM's solutions drive next-generation network automation, optimization, and efficiency. By leveraging AI-powered intelligence, RADCOM reduces operational costs, enables predictive customer insights, and seamlessly integrates with business support systems (BSS), operations support systems (OSS), and service management platforms. Offering a complete, real-time view of mobile and fixed networks, RADCOM empowers telecom operators to ensure exceptional service quality, enhance user experiences, and build customer-centric networks.
Risks Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements made herein that use words such as "estimate," "project," "intend," "expect," "believe," "may," "might," "potential," "anticipate," "plan" or similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and other securities laws. For example, when the Company discusses its preliminary second quarter 2026 revenue expectations, its updated full-year 2026 revenue outlook and guidance, its expectation of continued Non GAAP profitability for full-year 2026, the expected timing, duration and impact of the customer deployment delays on the timing of revenue through the balance of 2026, its belief that these dynamics reflect timing considerations rather than changes in demand, its expectation of returning to sustainable growth as customer deployment activity normalizes, and its expectation of returning to double-digit growth in 2027, it is using forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause the actual results, performance, or achievements of the Company to be materially different from those that may be expressed or implied by such statements, including, among others, changes in general economic and business conditions and, specifically, a decline in demand for the Company's products, delays in customer deployments and purchasing decisions, the risk that the Company's preliminary results differ from its final reported results for the second quarter of 2026, the Company's ability to achieve its full-year 2026 revenue guidance and to return to growth, the inability to timely develop and introduce new technologies, products, and applications, the timing of customer collections and resulting fluctuations in operating cash flow, reliance on a concentrated customer base, loss of market share and pressure on prices resulting from competition, and the effects of the conflict in Israel. For additional information regarding these and other risks and uncertainties associated with the Company's business, reference is made to the Company's reports filed from time to time with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The Company does not undertake to revise or update any forward-looking statements for any reason.
SOURCE RADCOM Ltd.
Customer Deployment Delays Driven by Higher Component Costs and Supply Constraints Impact Second Quarter Revenue and Full-Year Outlook
Second Quarter Earnings Release Call to be held on August 12
TEL AVIV, Israel, July 30, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- RADCOM Ltd. (NASDAQ: RDCM) (the "Company") today announced preliminary second quarter revenue expectations and updated its full-year 2026 outlook ahead of its August 12, 2026 earnings release.
Based on preliminary analysis, management currently expects second quarter revenue to be approximately $12 million. This reflects customer deployment delays that have delayed customer purchasing decisions. The Company did not experience cancellations or competitive losses and believes these dynamics reflect timing considerations rather than changes in demand.
"These delays are impacting the purchasing decisions of several of our customers, affecting our second quarter revenue and full year guidance," commented RADCOM's Chief Executive Officer, Benny Eppstein. "These delays became evident during the last few weeks of the quarter, and, based on what we know today, they could continue to affect the timing of revenue through the balance of 2026."
As a result, management is reducing its full-year 2026 revenue outlook to a range of $57 - $63 million, with a midpoint of $60 million.
Management expects RADCOM to remain profitable on a non-GAAP basis for full-year 2026, inclusive of these revenue headwinds.
"Demand for our solutions and our relationships with existing customers remain strong," Mr. Eppstein added. "Our focus is on executing against the opportunities in front of us, supporting our existing customers and positioning the Company to return to sustainable growth as customer deployment activity normalizes. We expect to return to double-digit growth in 2027."
Second quarter financial results conference call:
As previously disclosed, RADCOM will release its financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026, on Wednesday, August 12, 2026, before the opening of the U.S. financial markets. RADCOM will host a conference call and live webcast to discuss the second quarter 2026 financial results on the same day, Wednesday, August 12, 2026, at 8:00 a.m. Eastern Time (3:00 p.m. Israel Time). Following formal remarks by RADCOM management, there will be a question-and-answer session.
Conference call details:
Date / Time: Wednesday, August 12, 2026, at 8:00 a.m. Eastern Time / 3:00 p.m. Israel Time
USA Toll-Free: 1-866-652-8972
USA Toll-Free (alternate): 1-800-994-4498
Local Access: 03-9180609
Webcast (live and replay): https://www.veidan-conferencing.com/radcom
An archived replay of the call will be available on the RADCOM website following the live event.
For all investor inquiries, please contact:
Investor Relations:
Rob Fink or Joey Delahoussaye
FNK IR
[email protected]
646-809-4048/312-809-1087
Company Contact:
Hod Cohen
CFO
+972-3-645-5055
[email protected]
About RADCOM
RADCOM (NASDAQ: RDCM) is a leading provider of advanced, intelligent assurance solutions with integrated AI Operations (AIOps) capabilities. Its flagship platform, RADCOM ACE, harnesses AI-driven analytics and generative AI (GenAI) to improve customer experiences. From lab testing to full-scale deployment, RADCOM utilizes cutting-edge networking technologies to capture and analyze real-time data. Its advanced 5G portfolio delivers end-to-end network observability, from the radio access network (RAN) to the core.
Designed to be open, vendor-neutral, and cloud-agnostic, RADCOM's solutions drive next-generation network automation, optimization, and efficiency. By leveraging AI-powered intelligence, RADCOM reduces operational costs, enables predictive customer insights, and seamlessly integrates with business support systems (BSS), operations support systems (OSS), and service management platforms. Offering a complete, real-time view of mobile and fixed networks, RADCOM empowers telecom operators to ensure exceptional service quality, enhance user experiences, and build customer-centric networks.
Risks Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
Certain statements made herein that use words such as "estimate," "project," "intend," "expect," "believe," "may," "might," "potential," "anticipate," "plan" or similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and other securities laws. For example, when the Company discusses its preliminary second quarter 2026 revenue expectations, its updated full-year 2026 revenue outlook and guidance, its expectation of continued Non GAAP profitability for full-year 2026, the expected timing, duration and impact of the customer deployment delays on the timing of revenue through the balance of 2026, its belief that these dynamics reflect timing considerations rather than changes in demand, its expectation of returning to sustainable growth as customer deployment activity normalizes, and its expectation of returning to double-digit growth in 2027, it is using forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause the actual results, performance, or achievements of the Company to be materially different from those that may be expressed or implied by such statements, including, among others, changes in general economic and business conditions and, specifically, a decline in demand for the Company's products, delays in customer deployments and purchasing decisions, the risk that the Company's preliminary results differ from its final reported results for the second quarter of 2026, the Company's ability to achieve its full-year 2026 revenue guidance and to return to growth, the inability to timely develop and introduce new technologies, products, and applications, the timing of customer collections and resulting fluctuations in operating cash flow, reliance on a concentrated customer base, loss of market share and pressure on prices resulting from competition, and the effects of the conflict in Israel. For additional information regarding these and other risks and uncertainties associated with the Company's business, reference is made to the Company's reports filed from time to time with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The Company does not undertake to revise or update any forward-looking statements for any reason.
SOURCE RADCOM Ltd.
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